- The Rays are +100 favorites vs the Tigers
- Rays vs Tigers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Rays / Tigers TV Channel: BSDT | BSUN
The Tampa Bay Rays (+105) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-125) on Wednesday, September 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Rays are 78-79 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 85-72 ATS.
Rays vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Zack Littell 8-9, 3.57 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Keider Montero 6-6, 4.90 ERA
Rays vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Rays | +1.5 -200 | O 8 -115 | +105 |
Tigers | -1.5 +165 | U 8 -105 | -125 |
Rays vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games (+25.85 Units / 259% ROI)
- Junior Caminero has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 37 games (+13.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+11.60 Units / 60% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+11.10 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+9.60 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Riley Greene has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 13 games at home (+12.10 Units / 93% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 40 games (+11.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Walks Under in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+11.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 40 games (+9.35 Units / 13% ROI)
- Jace Jung has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+7.85 Units / 112% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 93 of their last 154 games (+27.21 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 50 of their last 81 games (+20.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 86 of their last 148 games (+18.20 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 86 games (+11.65 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 84 games (+6.30 Units / 7% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 70 games (+22.35 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 72 games (+20.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 18 games at home (+11.80 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games at home (+8.65 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+7.00 Units / 25% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 81-76 against the Run Line (-4.1 Units / -1.92% ROI).
- 78-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.15 Units / -4.36% ROI
- 67-85 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.45 Units / -14.8% ROI
- 85-67 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.6 Units / 6.69% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 85-72 against the Run Line (+5.2 Units / 2.45% ROI).
- 83-74 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.2 Units / 3.91% ROI
- 76-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.2 Units / -2.48% ROI
- 73-76 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.65 Units / -6.27% ROI
Tigers vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Tigers vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Jonny DeLuca (TB) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Tigers vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Tigers vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Zack Littell (TB) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -135 |
Keider Montero (DET) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
14 of Zack Littell’s 43 breaking pitch strikeouts (33%) have been backdoor this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: 14% — 97th Percentile.
Zack Littell has thrown his slider 49% of the time (310/633) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total SL; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitless in 18 AB’s against Zack Littell when going through the lineup the second time in a game in his last two starts — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .222 — 100th Percentile.
Zack Littell has allowed an OBP of just .040 (25 PA’s) with two-strikes in his last two starts — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .213 — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 14% (16/118) against Keider Montero on breaking pitches this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Keider Montero has allowed an OBP of just .261 (153 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 14th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: .306 — 90th Percentile.
77% of Keider Montero’s called strikeouts are outside this season — tied for 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: 51% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 14% (11/77) against Keider Montero on sliders this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Rays are 133-5 (.964) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Rays are 12-124 (.088) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .051.
The Rays are 43-19 (.694) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .560.
The Rays are 59-2 (.967) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .900.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Tigers are 16-52 (.235) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .144.
The Tigers are 38-4 (.905) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .751.
The Tigers are 27-1 (.964) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .807.
The Tigers are 63-9 (.875) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Rays hitters have an OPS of just .670 (2,939 PA’s) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .721.
Rays hitters are slugging just .366 at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Rays hitters are slugging just .369 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .293 (13,556 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Tigers are batting just .313 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .279 (4,291 PA’s) when leading off an inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .308.
The Tigers are batting just .235 against LHP since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 1,260 of 17,772 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% against Rays pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 406 of 5,786 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 351 of 4,278 batters (8%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 882 of 11,859 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 46 of 728 batters (6%) this month (20 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Detroit Tigers – No Injuries Reported
- Tampa Bay Rays – No Injuries Reported
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