Rays vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 25

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(AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 25, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Rays are +100 favorites vs the Tigers
  • Rays vs Tigers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Rays / Tigers TV Channel: BSDT | BSUN

The Tampa Bay Rays (+105) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-125) on Wednesday, September 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI.

This season, the Rays are 78-79 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 85-72 ATS.

Rays vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rays starting pitcher: Zack Littell 8-9, 3.57 ERA
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Keider Montero 6-6, 4.90 ERA

Rays vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rays+1.5 -200O 8 -115+105
Tigers -1.5 +165U 8 -105-125

Rays vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jonathan Aranda has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games (+25.85 Units / 259% ROI)
  • Junior Caminero has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 37 games (+13.95 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+11.60 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+11.10 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Jonathan Aranda has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+9.60 Units / 37% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Riley Greene has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 13 games at home (+12.10 Units / 93% ROI)
  • Parker Meadows has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 40 games (+11.50 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Riley Greene has hit the Walks Under in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+11.05 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Parker Meadows has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 40 games (+9.35 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Jace Jung has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+7.85 Units / 112% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 93 of their last 154 games (+27.21 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 50 of their last 81 games (+20.55 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 86 of their last 148 games (+18.20 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 86 games (+11.65 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 84 games (+6.30 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 70 games (+22.35 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 72 games (+20.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 18 games at home (+11.80 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games at home (+8.65 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+7.00 Units / 25% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 81-76 against the Run Line (-4.1 Units / -1.92% ROI).

  • 78-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.15 Units / -4.36% ROI
  • 67-85 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.45 Units / -14.8% ROI
  • 85-67 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.6 Units / 6.69% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 85-72 against the Run Line (+5.2 Units / 2.45% ROI).

  • 83-74 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.2 Units / 3.91% ROI
  • 76-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.2 Units / -2.48% ROI
  • 73-76 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.65 Units / -6.27% ROI

Tigers vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Junior Caminero (TB) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800
Kerry Carpenter (DET) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800
Brandon Lowe (TB) 0.5 +575 0.5 -800
Josh Lowe (TB) 0.5 +575 0.5 -900

Tigers vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Colt Keith (DET) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Brandon Lowe (TB) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Jonny DeLuca (TB) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Kerry Carpenter (DET) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160

Tigers vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Junior Caminero (TB) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Colt Keith (DET) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Matt Vierling (DET) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Josh Lowe (TB) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250

Tigers vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Zack Littell (TB) 4.5 +105 4.5 -135
Keider Montero (DET) 4.5 +110 4.5 -145

14 of Zack Littell’s 43 breaking pitch strikeouts (33%) have been backdoor this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: 14% — 97th Percentile.

Zack Littell has thrown his slider 49% of the time (310/633) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total SL; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitless in 18 AB’s against Zack Littell when going through the lineup the second time in a game in his last two starts — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .222 — 100th Percentile.

Zack Littell has allowed an OBP of just .040 (25 PA’s) with two-strikes in his last two starts — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .213 — 100th Percentile.

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 14% (16/118) against Keider Montero on breaking pitches this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Keider Montero has allowed an OBP of just .261 (153 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 14th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: .306 — 90th Percentile.

77% of Keider Montero’s called strikeouts are outside this season — tied for 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: 51% — 95th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 14% (11/77) against Keider Montero on sliders this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Rays are 133-5 (.964) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .900.

The Rays are 12-124 (.088) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .051.

The Rays are 43-19 (.694) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .560.

The Rays are 59-2 (.967) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .900.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Tigers are 16-52 (.235) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .144.

The Tigers are 38-4 (.905) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .751.

The Tigers are 27-1 (.964) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .807.

The Tigers are 63-9 (.875) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .799.

Rays hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Rays hitters have an OPS of just .670 (2,939 PA’s) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .721.

Rays hitters are slugging just .366 at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .405.

Rays hitters are slugging just .369 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .293 (13,556 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

The Tigers are batting just .313 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .279 (4,291 PA’s) when leading off an inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .308.

The Tigers are batting just .235 against LHP since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.

The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Rays pitchers have walked 1,260 of 17,772 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% against Rays pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 406 of 5,786 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 351 of 4,278 batters (8%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 882 of 11,859 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 46 of 728 batters (6%) this month (20 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Tigers vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Detroit Tigers – No Injuries Reported
  • Tampa Bay Rays – No Injuries Reported

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.