Rays vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 25

(AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)
  • The Rays are +100 favorites vs the Tigers
  • Rays vs Tigers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Rays / Tigers TV Channel: BSDT | BSUN

The Tampa Bay Rays (+105) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-125) on Wednesday, September 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI.

This season, the Rays are 78-79 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 85-72 ATS.

Rays vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rays starting pitcher: Zack Littell 8-9, 3.57 ERA
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Keider Montero 6-6, 4.90 ERA

Rays vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rays+1.5 -200O 8 -115+105
Tigers -1.5 +165U 8 -105-125

Rays vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Rays vs Tigers and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jonathan Aranda has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games (+25.85 Units / 259% ROI)
  • Junior Caminero has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 37 games (+13.95 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+11.60 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+11.10 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Jonathan Aranda has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+9.60 Units / 37% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Riley Greene has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 13 games at home (+12.10 Units / 93% ROI)
  • Parker Meadows has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 40 games (+11.50 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Riley Greene has hit the Walks Under in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+11.05 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Parker Meadows has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 40 games (+9.35 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Jace Jung has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+7.85 Units / 112% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 93 of their last 154 games (+27.21 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 50 of their last 81 games (+20.55 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 86 of their last 148 games (+18.20 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 86 games (+11.65 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 84 games (+6.30 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 70 games (+22.35 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 72 games (+20.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 18 games at home (+11.80 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games at home (+8.65 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+7.00 Units / 25% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 81-76 against the Run Line (-4.1 Units / -1.92% ROI).

  • 78-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.15 Units / -4.36% ROI
  • 67-85 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.45 Units / -14.8% ROI
  • 85-67 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.6 Units / 6.69% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 85-72 against the Run Line (+5.2 Units / 2.45% ROI).

  • 83-74 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.2 Units / 3.91% ROI
  • 76-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.2 Units / -2.48% ROI
  • 73-76 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.65 Units / -6.27% ROI

Tigers vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Junior Caminero (TB) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800
Kerry Carpenter (DET) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800
Brandon Lowe (TB) 0.5 +575 0.5 -800
Josh Lowe (TB) 0.5 +575 0.5 -900

Tigers vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Colt Keith (DET) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Brandon Lowe (TB) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Jonny DeLuca (TB) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Kerry Carpenter (DET) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160

Tigers vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Junior Caminero (TB) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Colt Keith (DET) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Matt Vierling (DET) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Josh Lowe (TB) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250

Tigers vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Zack Littell (TB) 4.5 +105 4.5 -135
Keider Montero (DET) 4.5 +110 4.5 -145

14 of Zack Littell’s 43 breaking pitch strikeouts (33%) have been backdoor this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: 14% — 97th Percentile.

Zack Littell has thrown his slider 49% of the time (310/633) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total SL; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitless in 18 AB’s against Zack Littell when going through the lineup the second time in a game in his last two starts — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .222 — 100th Percentile.

Zack Littell has allowed an OBP of just .040 (25 PA’s) with two-strikes in his last two starts — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .213 — 100th Percentile.

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 14% (16/118) against Keider Montero on breaking pitches this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Keider Montero has allowed an OBP of just .261 (153 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 14th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: .306 — 90th Percentile.

77% of Keider Montero’s called strikeouts are outside this season — tied for 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: 51% — 95th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 14% (11/77) against Keider Montero on sliders this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Rays are 133-5 (.964) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .900.

The Rays are 12-124 (.088) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .051.

The Rays are 43-19 (.694) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .560.

The Rays are 59-2 (.967) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .900.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Tigers are 16-52 (.235) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .144.

The Tigers are 38-4 (.905) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .751.

The Tigers are 27-1 (.964) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .807.

The Tigers are 63-9 (.875) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .799.

Rays hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Rays hitters have an OPS of just .670 (2,939 PA’s) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .721.

Rays hitters are slugging just .366 at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .405.

Rays hitters are slugging just .369 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .293 (13,556 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

The Tigers are batting just .313 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .279 (4,291 PA’s) when leading off an inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .308.

The Tigers are batting just .235 against LHP since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.

The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Rays pitchers have walked 1,260 of 17,772 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% against Rays pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 406 of 5,786 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 351 of 4,278 batters (8%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 882 of 11,859 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 46 of 728 batters (6%) this month (20 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Tigers vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Detroit Tigers – No Injuries Reported
  • Tampa Bay Rays – No Injuries Reported

Bet now on Rays vs Tigers and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500
About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.