- The Yankees are -165 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Rays / Yankees TV Channel: YES | BSUN
The Tampa Bay Rays (+140) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-165) on Friday, April 19, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Rays are 11-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 10-9 ATS.
Rays vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Tyler Alexander 1-0, 6.46 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Clarke Schmidt 1-0, 3.68 ERA
Rays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -140 | O 8.5 +100 | +140 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +115 | U 8.5 -120 | -165 |
Rays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s MLB game with 53.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+11.60 Units / 50% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+10.05 Units / 54% ROI)
- Ben Rortvedt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.35 Units / 44% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.15 Units / 47% ROI)
- Raimel Tapia has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+8.60 Units / 108% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gleyber Torres has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 18 games (+9.55 Units / 45% ROI)
- Austin Wells has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 8 games (+8.15 Units / 73% ROI)
- Carlos Rodon has hit the Strikeouts Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Trent Grisham has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 50% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 31 away games (+13.85 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 30 away games (+13.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 47 games (+12.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 30 away games (+9.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 away games (+8.30 Units / 23% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 37 games at home (+9.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games at home (+9.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 41 games at home (+3.68 Units / 8% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 32 games (+3.50 Units / 8% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 8-12 against the Run Line (-3.25 Units / -14.19% ROI).
- 11-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -3.81% ROI
- 12-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +3 Units / 13.61% ROI
- 8-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.35 Units / -24.37% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 10-9 against the Run Line (+2 Units / 8.28% ROI).
- 13-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.35 Units / 22.11% ROI
- 7-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.4 Units / -25.35% ROI
- 11-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.35 Units / 16.26% ROI
Yankees vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -225 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Yankees vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Amed Rosario (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Harold Ramirez (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Yankees vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Isaac Paredes (TB) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Yankees vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Alexander has allowed a slugging percentage of .647 (22 Total Bases / 34 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among in AL; League Avg: .236 — second Percentile.
Tyler Alexander has allowed an OPS of .710 (135 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 2nd highest among in AL; League Avg: .486 — second Percentile.
Tyler Alexander has allowed a slugging percentage of .449 (57 Total Bases / 127 ABs) with two-strikes since last season — highest among in AL; League Avg: .246 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 10% (9/87) against Tyler Alexander on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — first Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Clarke Schmidt has an average spin rate of 2624.4 RPM on fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 2236.2 — 100th Percentile.
Clarke Schmidt has struck out 38% (12/32) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 96th Percentile.
Clarke Schmidt had an average spin rate of 2627.0 RPM on fastballs in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 2239.5 — 100th Percentile.
Clarke Schmidt has thrown his cutter 28% of the time (339/1,228) with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total CUT; League Avg: 12% — 92nd Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Rays are just 12-28 (.300) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Rays are 8-62 (.114) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Rays are 45-23 (.662) after a home loss since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The Rays are just 5-14 (.263) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .424.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Yankees are 22-17 (.564) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Yankees are 59-16 (.787) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .688.
The Yankees are just 16-28 (.364) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .409.
The Yankees are 103-65 (.613) at home since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .524.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have 3 strikeouts in 6 PA’s (50%) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rays hitters have an OPS of just .167 (6 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .684.
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters are slugging .501 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .451.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
The Yankees are batting just .233 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 42% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Yankees are batting just .215 with two outs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Yankees hitters have an OBP of just .304 (818 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 897 of 12,709 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .216 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .218 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Yankees pitchers have walked 77 of 722 batters (11%) this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Yankees vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
- Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
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