Rays vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 20

New York Yankees' DJ LeMahieu hits a one-run double in the sixth inning of the first game of a baseball doubleheader against the Boston Red Sox, Tuesday, Sept. 12, 2023, in Boston.
(AP Photo/Steven Senne)
  • The Yankees are -135 favorites vs the Rays
  • Rays vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Rays / Yankees TV Channel: YES | BSUN | MLBN

The Tampa Bay Rays (+115) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-135) on Saturday, April 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.

This season, the Rays are 11-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 11-9 ATS.

Rays vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rays starting pitcher: Zach Eflin 0-0, 0.00 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Nestor Cortes 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Rays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rays+1.5 -175O 8.5 -105+115
Yankees -1.5 +145U 8.5 -115-135

Rays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Wander Franco has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+11.60 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.15 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Raimel Tapia has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+8.60 Units / 108% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.00 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Singles Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 61% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Austin Wells has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 8 games (+8.15 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Carlos Rodon has hit the Strikeouts Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Trent Grisham has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Austin Wells has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.95 Units / 97% ROI)
  • Austin Wells has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 6 games (+6.55 Units / 81% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 31 away games (+13.85 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 30 away games (+13.60 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 47 games (+12.85 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 30 away games (+9.75 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 away games (+8.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 37 games at home (+9.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games at home (+9.60 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 41 games at home (+3.68 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 32 games (+3.50 Units / 8% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 8-13 against the Run Line (-4.5 Units / -18.63% ROI).

  • 11-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -7.34% ROI
  • 12-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.95 Units / 8.44% ROI
  • 9-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.35 Units / -18.83% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 11-9 against the Run Line (+3.05 Units / 12.13% ROI).

  • 14-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.35 Units / 24.42% ROI
  • 7-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.45 Units / -28.86% ROI
  • 12-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.35 Units / 20% ROI

Yankees vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 +210 0.5 -275
Randy Arozarena (TB) 0.5 +290 0.5 -375
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 +333 0.5 -450
Yandy Diaz (TB) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Isaac Paredes (TB) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500

Yankees vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Anthony Volpe (NYY) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 -225 0.5 +175
Randy Arozarena (TB) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Alex Verdugo (NYY) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Yankees vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 +115 0.5 -150
Randy Arozarena (TB) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Isaac Paredes (TB) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Amed Rosario (TB) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250

Yankees vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Opponents have a miss rate of just 9% (3/33) against Zach Eflin on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 2nd lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 26% — sixth Percentile.

Zach Eflin has walked 2 of 98 batters (2%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 9% (3/33) against Zach Eflin on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — fourth Percentile.

Zach Eflin has walked 2 of 98 batters (2%) this season — 2nd best among in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 97th Percentile.

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 16% (5/32) against Nestor Cortes — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% (20/67) against Nestor Cortes this season — 3rd lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 42% — sixth Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (65/243) against Nestor Cortes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 13% (3/23) against Nestor Cortes — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Rays are 16-6 (.727) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rays are 45-23 (.662) after a home loss since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .517.

The Rays are just 5-14 (.263) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .424.

The Rays are just 12-28 (.300) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Yankees are 22-17 (.564) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.

The Yankees are 116-29 (.800) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .697.

The Yankees are 52-8 (.867) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .795.

The Yankees are 103-65 (.613) at home since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .524.

The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Rays hitters have a groundball batting average of .269 since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.

The Rays are hitless in 5 AB’s in lefty-lefty matchups this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .239.

Rays hitters have drawn 36 walks in 553 PA’s (7%) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Yankees are batting just .214 with two outs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.

Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 42% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Yankees hitters have drawn 58 walks in 421 PA’s (14%) against starting pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Yankees are batting just .318 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .342.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Rays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 30% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Rays pitchers have walked 899 of 12,744 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .218 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .254.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .216 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

The Yankees pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in 65% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Yankees vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
  • Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
  • Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
  • Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
  • DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
  • Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
  • Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
  • Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
  • Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
  • Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
  • Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
  • Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
  • Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
  • Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
  • Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
  • Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension

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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.