- The Yankees are -130 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Rays / Yankees TV Channel: YES | MLBN | BSFL
The Tampa Bay Rays (+110) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-130) on Sunday, April 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Rays are 12-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 11-10 ATS.
Rays vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Aaron Civale 2-1, 2.74 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Luis Gil 0-1, 3.86 ERA
Rays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -185 | O 8.5 -110 | +110 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +150 | U 8.5 -110 | -130 |
Rays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+11.60 Units / 50% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.15 Units / 47% ROI)
- Raimel Tapia has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+8.60 Units / 108% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Singles Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 61% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gleyber Torres has hit the RBIs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Carlos Rodon has hit the Strikeouts Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+5.50 Units / 110% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 31 away games (+13.85 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 30 away games (+13.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 47 games (+12.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 30 away games (+9.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 away games (+8.30 Units / 23% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 37 games at home (+9.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games at home (+9.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 41 games at home (+3.68 Units / 8% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 32 games (+3.50 Units / 8% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 9-13 against the Run Line (-3.5 Units / -13.49% ROI).
- 12-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.95 Units / -3.36% ROI
- 12-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.9 Units / 3.73% ROI
- 10-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.35 Units / -13.81% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 11-10 against the Run Line (+2.05 Units / 7.84% ROI).
- 14-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.1 Units / 18.72% ROI
- 7-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.5 Units / -32.05% ROI
- 13-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.35 Units / 23.36% ROI
Yankees vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Anthony Rizzo (NYY) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Yankees vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Amed Rosario (TB) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Yankees vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Isaac Paredes (TB) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Anthony Rizzo (NYY) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Yankees vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Aaron Civale has allowed an OBP of just .059 (17 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .317 — 100th Percentile.
Aaron Civale has a strikeout rate of 36% (13 SO in 36 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 94th Percentile.
Aaron Civale has allowed an OBP of just .059 (17 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — best among in AL; League Avg: .321 — 100th Percentile.
Aaron Civale has thrown elevated pitches 58% of the time (52/89) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Gil has walked 9 of 38 right-handed batters (24%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.
Luis Gil has a strike rate of just 54% (91/170) against right-handed batters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.
Luis Gil has walked 14 of 61 batters (23%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.
Luis Gil has allowed three-ball counts to 39% of batters they faced (24/61 PA’s) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 0 Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Rays are just 12-29 (.293) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Rays are 17-6 (.739) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are just 5-15 (.250) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Rays are 18-6 (.750) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Yankees are 22-17 (.564) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Yankees are 116-29 (.800) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Yankees are 47-49 (.490) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .362.
The Yankees are 77-5 (.939) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .898.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have a groundball batting average of .269 since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
The Rays scored first in 71% of their games against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays are batting .262 against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Rays are batting .267 against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
The Yankees are batting just .228 since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Yankees are batting just .233 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
The Yankees are batting just .222 against starting pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Yankees hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in just 1,560 of their 6,777 plate appearances (23%) since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 30% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 900 of 12,778 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .218 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .216 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.89 (189.2 IP) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.05.
Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.58 (3081.0 IP) since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.15.
Yankees vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
- Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
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