- The Dodgers are + favorites vs the Red Sox
- Red Sox vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Red Sox / Dodgers TV Channel: SNLA | MLBN | NESN
The Boston Red Sox (+) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (+) on Friday, July 19, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.
This season, the Red Sox are 53-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 47-50 ATS.
Red Sox vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Nick Pivetta 4-6, 4.19 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Gavin Stone 9-3, 3.26 ERA
Red Sox vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Red Sox | +1.5 -175 | O 8.5 +100 | + |
Dodgers | -1.5 +145 | U 8.5 -120 | + |
Red Sox vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 39 games (+16.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 37 games (+11.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+11.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 38 games (+10.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.70 Units / 55% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+14.05 Units / 33% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+13.75 Units / 92% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+12.45 Units / 79% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 18 games at home (+12.40 Units / 37% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 39 games (+12.10 Units / 28% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 43 away games (+14.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 43 away games (+9.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 52 games (+9.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 53 of their last 95 games (+5.70 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 49 of their last 95 games (+5.25 Units / 4% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 38 games at home (+11.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+6.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+3.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 46 games at home (+1.55 Units / 2% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 45-50 against the Run Line (-10.7 Units / -8.53% ROI).
- 53-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.25 Units / 5.27% ROI
- 44-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.1 Units / -5.85% ROI
- 46-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.2 Units / -2.1% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 47-50 against the Run Line (-10.05 Units / -8.56% ROI).
- 56-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.05 Units / -8.46% ROI
- 49-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.65 Units / -2.49% ROI
- 47-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.8 Units / -6.35% ROI
Dodgers vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Dodgers vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Dodgers vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Dodgers vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Gavin Stone (LAD) | 5.5 +130 | 5.5 -175 |
Nick Pivetta (BOS) | 6.5 +135 | 6.5 -175 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nick Pivetta has a strikeout rate of 44% (8 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Nick Pivetta has allowed a slugging percentage of .762 (234 Total Bases / 307 ABs) in non-two strike counts since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: .574 — 0 Percentile.
Nick Pivetta has allowed an OBP of just .180 (540 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 98th Percentile.
Nick Pivetta has a first-pitch strike rate of 80% (41/51) this month (2 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 98th Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Gavin Stone has a strikeout rate of just 9% (11 SO in 117 PAs) versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Gavin Stone has walked 8 of 220 right-handed batters (4%) this season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .400 (20-for-50) against Gavin Stone on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .330 — 15th Percentile.
Gavin Stone has a strikeout rate of just 12% (10 SO in 84 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Red Sox are 47-9 (.839) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
The Red Sox are just 30-38 (.441) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Red Sox are 116-4 (.967) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Red Sox are 39-30 (.565) after a road win since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .479.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Dodgers are 52-24 (.684) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .461.
The Dodgers are 264-127 (.675) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .536.
The Dodgers are 101-51 (.664) after a loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .491.
The Dodgers are 237-46 (.837) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .720.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have 307 strikeouts in 1,053 PA’s (29%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Red Sox hitters have 675 strikeouts in 2,631 PA’s (26%) against LHP since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox hitters have 1,045 strikeouts in 4,178 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .339 (7,222 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Dodgers have a winning percentage of 62% on the road since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Dodgers are batting .365 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .784 (11,731 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 246 of 3,559 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.26 (405.1 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.21.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 51 of 854 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 43% of their games since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.37 (1906.0 IP) at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.00.
Dodgers vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Diego Cartaya (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, Day-To-Day
- Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Chest, 15-Day IL
- David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
- Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
- Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
- Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Wyatt Mills (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Zack Kelly (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Day-To-Day
- Bryan Mata (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Back, Day-To-Day
- Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Rob Refsnyder (Boston Red Sox): Toe, 10-Day IL
- Yu Chang (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Out
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