- The Dodgers are + favorites vs the Red Sox
- Red Sox vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Red Sox / Dodgers TV Channel: FOX
The Boston Red Sox () visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers () on Saturday, July 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.
This season, the Red Sox are 53-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 48-50 ATS.
Red Sox vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Brayan Bello 10-5, 5.36 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Justin Wrobleski 0-1, 6.52 ERA
Red Sox vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | O | ||
| Dodgers | U |
Red Sox vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 53.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 39 games (+16.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 37 games (+11.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+11.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 38 games (+10.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.70 Units / 55% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+14.05 Units / 33% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+13.75 Units / 92% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+12.45 Units / 79% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 18 games at home (+12.40 Units / 37% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 39 games (+12.10 Units / 28% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 44 away games (+13.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 44 away games (+8.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 53 games (+7.90 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 54 of their last 96 games (+6.70 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 50 of their last 96 games (+6.25 Units / 5% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 39 games at home (+12.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 46 games at home (+5.35 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 23 games (+2.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 47 games at home (+0.55 Units / 1% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 45-51 against the Run Line (-12.55 Units / -9.85% ROI).
- 53-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.25 Units / 4.39% ROI
- 44-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.25 Units / -6.87% ROI
- 47-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.2 Units / -1.13% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 48-50 against the Run Line (-8.45 Units / -7.14% ROI).
- 57-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.05 Units / -7.84% ROI
- 49-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.8 Units / -3.53% ROI
- 48-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.8 Units / -5.36% ROI
Dodgers vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Dodgers vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Dodgers vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Dodgers vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gavin Stone (LAD) | 5.5 +130 | 5.5 -175 |
| Nick Pivetta (BOS) | 6.5 +135 | 6.5 -175 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .437 (94-for-215) against Brayan Bello when he’s behind in the count since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 167 total IP; League Avg: .338 — first Percentile.
Brayan Bello has not walked any of the 37 batters that he has faced vs left-handed batters this month (3 games) — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 38% (22/58) against Brayan Bello on sliders this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (165/274) against Brayan Bello in two-strike counts since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 97th Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 22% (6/27) against Justin Wrobleski with two-strikes in his last two starts — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 40% — second Percentile.
Justin Wrobleski has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.000 (15 Total Bases / 15 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 games) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .448 — first Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 18% (3/17) against Justin Wrobleski in his last start — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 51% of Justin Wrobleski’s pitches (26/51) with two-strikes in his last two starts — 5th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 61% — sixth Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Red Sox are 104-18 (.852) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .788.
The Red Sox are just 5-177 (.027) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Red Sox are 102-9 (.919) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The Red Sox are 106-6 (.946) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .898.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Dodgers are 52-24 (.684) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .461.
The Dodgers are 238-46 (.838) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .720.
The Dodgers are 102-51 (.667) after a loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .491.
The Dodgers are 35-17 (.673) after a road loss since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .471.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have 312 strikeouts in 1,063 PA’s (29%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .246 on pitches out of the zone since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .371 (340 PA’s) against RHP this month (13 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .552 against RHP this month (13 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have 412 extra-base hits out of 1,033 total hits (40%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .337 (2,878 PA’s) against LHP since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .321.
Dodgers hitters have been successful in 89% of their bunt for hit attempts since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .782 (11,760 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 53 of 862 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.29 (413.1 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .185 against Red Sox pitchers this month (13 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .256.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.50 (3774.0 IP) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.36 (1915.0 IP) at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.00.
Dodgers vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Diego Cartaya (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, Day-To-Day
- Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Chest, 15-Day IL
- David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
- Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
- Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
- Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Wyatt Mills (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Zack Kelly (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Day-To-Day
- Bryan Mata (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Back, Day-To-Day
- Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Rob Refsnyder (Boston Red Sox): Toe, 10-Day IL
- Yu Chang (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Out
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