- The Red Sox are -125 favorites vs the Orioles
- Red Sox vs Orioles Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Red Sox / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | NESN
The Boston Red Sox (-125) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+105) on Wednesday, April 2, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Red Sox are 1-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 3-2 ATS.
Red Sox vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Garrett Crochet 0-0, 3.60 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Zach Eflin 1-0, 3.00 ERA
Red Sox vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +145 | O 7.5 -102 | -125 |
| Orioles | +1.5 -175 | U 7.5 -118 | +105 |
Red Sox vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Red Sox vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+17.25 Units / 75% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 20 away games (+17.20 Units / 65% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 20 away games (+15.95 Units / 70% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 away games (+14.45 Units / 50% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+10.65 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Heston Kjerstad has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+10.10 Units / 85% ROI)
- Ramon Urias has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jordan Westburg has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+8.80 Units / 220% ROI)
- Zach Eflin has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+7.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- Ramon Urias has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 43% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 60 away games (+8.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 away games (+7.70 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 away games (+7.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 76 away games (+5.05 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 10 away games (+0.75 Units / 5% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 89 games (+18.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 83 of their last 154 games (+17.80 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 83 of their last 155 games (+15.45 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 78 of their last 149 games (+6.10 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+5.25 Units / 33% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 3-2 against the Run Line (+0.8 Units / 11.11% ROI).
- 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.2 Units / -58.18% ROI
- 1-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.3 Units / -61.11% ROI
- 4-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.9 Units / 51.79% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 3-2 against the Run Line (-0.2 Units / -2.33% ROI).
- 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 18.35% ROI
- 4-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +3 Units / 55.05% ROI
- 1-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.35 Units / -60.36% ROI
Orioles vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Tyler O’Neill (BAL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Gary Sanchez (BAL) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
Orioles vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Trevor Story (BOS) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Kristian Campbell (BOS) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Orioles vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman (BOS) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -285 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -285 |
Orioles vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zach Eflin (BAL) | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +115 |
| Garrett Crochet (BOS) | 7.5 +115 | 7.5 -155 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Garrett Crochet has a strikeout rate of 39% (110 SO in 285 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.
Garrett Crochet has a strikeout rate of 38% (59 SO in 155 PAs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Garrett Crochet had a strikeout rate of 39% (108/276) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Garrett Crochet had a strikeout rate of 38% (57/150) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zach Eflin walked 7 of 252 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has thrown low pitches 81% of the time (17/21) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 36% — 100th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has walked 25 of 705 batters (4%) since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Zach Eflin walked 8 of 350 right-handed batters (2%) in the 2024 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 98th Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Red Sox are just 3-146 (.020) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Red Sox are just 14-133 (.095) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .142.
The Red Sox were just 17-33 (.340) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Orioles (fourth best runs scored) today.
The Red Sox are just 34-142 (.193) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Orioles are 70-24 (.745) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .626.
The Orioles were 36-10 (.783) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Orioles are 159-13 (.924) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .858.
The Orioles were 81-5 (.942) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .899.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters struck out 506 times in 1,816 PA’s (28%) against LHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox hitters are averaging 4.61 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Red Sox hitters have 520 strikeouts in 1,860 PA’s (28%) against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Red Sox batted .182 on pitches out of the zone in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of 1.880 (27 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 1.115.
Orioles hitters have grounded into 75 double plays in 1,172 opportunities (6%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Orioles hitters are slugging 1.250 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .622.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 9 of 169 batters (5%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Red Sox pitchers are throwing just 3.46 pitches per plate appearance this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.93.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Red Sox pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have walked 9 of 43 batters (21%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .210 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 38% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Orioles have won 41% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Red Sox vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
