- The Orioles are -145 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Red Sox vs Orioles Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Red Sox / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | NESN | MLBN
The Boston Red Sox (+125) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-150) on Monday, March 31, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 2:35pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Red Sox are 1-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 2-2 ATS.
Red Sox vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Sean Newcomb 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Cade Povich 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Red Sox vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -175 | O 9.5 -115 | +125 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +145 | U 9.5 -105 | -150 |
Red Sox vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Monday‘s MLB game with 55.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Rafael Devers has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+15.20 Units / 59% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 away games (+14.55 Units / 63% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+13.65 Units / 59% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+11.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+10.65 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ramon Urias has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- Ramon Urias has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 100% ROI)
- Ramon Urias has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- Ramon Urias has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 25 games (+9.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- Gary Sanchez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+6.55 Units / 28% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 60 away games (+8.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 away games (+7.70 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 46 of their last 78 away games (+7.35 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 78 away games (+7.05 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 10 away games (+0.75 Units / 5% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 89 games (+18.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 83 of their last 154 games (+17.80 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 83 of their last 155 games (+15.45 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 78 of their last 149 games (+6.10 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+5.25 Units / 33% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 3-1 against the Run Line (+2.4 Units / 42.86% ROI).
- 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.2 Units / -48.89% ROI
- 0-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.3 Units / -100% ROI
- 4-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +4 Units / 88.89% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 2-2 against the Run Line (-1.6 Units / -21.05% ROI).
- 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 3-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 45.98% ROI
- 1-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.25 Units / -50.56% ROI
Orioles vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler O’Neill (BAL) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Alex Bregman (BOS) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Trevor Story (BOS) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Kristian Campbell (BOS) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Orioles vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ramon Laureano (BAL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Rob Refsnyder (BOS) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Kristian Campbell (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Ramon Urias (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Orioles vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Tyler O’Neill (BAL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Alex Bregman (BOS) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Heston Kjerstad (BAL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
Orioles vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cade Povich (BAL) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +105 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sean Newcomb has limited playing time.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cade Povich has pitched 9.0 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Daniel Lynch has the longest active streak at 23.0.
Cade Povich has allowed an OBP of .341 (255 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: .301 — 11th Percentile.
Cade Povich had a strikeout rate of just 13% (10/76) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 30% (25/83) against Cade Povich on breaking pitches since last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: 24% — fourth Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Red Sox were just 17-33 (.340) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Blue Jays (23rd best runs scored) today.
The Red Sox were just 38-43 (.469) at home in the 2024 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Red Sox are just 34-141 (.194) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Red Sox were just 5-58 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Orioles are 103-26 (.798) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .701.
The Orioles are 38-91 (.295) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .208.
The Orioles were 36-10 (.783) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Orioles are 71-6 (.922) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters are averaging 4.57 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.84.
The Red Sox batted .300 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Red Sox hitters struck out 506 times in 1,816 PA’s (28%) against LHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .429 against RHP since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have an OPS of 2.230 (17 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.083.
Orioles hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field with runners in scoring position since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Red Sox pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 1 of 33 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 33% with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have walked 7 of 34 batters (21%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 6% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .210 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Orioles have won 41% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
More MLB Reading:
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