Red Sox vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 27

Texas Rangers' Adolis Garcia celebrates as he runs the bases after hitting a go-ahead, two-run home run off New York Yankees relief pitcher Michael King during the 10th inning of a baseball game Friday, June 23, 2023, in New York.
(AP Photo/John Minchillo)
  • The Red Sox are -115 favorites vs the Rangers
  • Red Sox vs Rangers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Red Sox / Rangers TV Channel: RASN | NESN

The Boston Red Sox (-120) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+100) on Thursday, March 27, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX, USA.

This preseason, the Red Sox were 12-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers were 8-11 ATS.

Red Sox vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Garrett Crochet 0-0, 0.00 ERA
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Red Sox vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Red Sox-1.5 +145O 7.5 -105-120
Rangers +1.5 -180U 7.5 -115+100

Red Sox vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Red Sox vs Rangers and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Rafael Devers has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+12.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Rafael Devers has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+12.00 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.85 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.45 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 away games (+9.25 Units / 51% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Leody Taveras has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games at home (+12.50 Units / 208% ROI)
  • Nathan Eovaldi has hit the Earned Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.25 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Nathan Eovaldi has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+4.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Nathan Eovaldi has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.40 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+3.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 60 away games (+8.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 away games (+7.70 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 46 of their last 78 away games (+7.35 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 78 away games (+7.05 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 10 away games (+0.75 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 77 games at home (+14.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 76 games at home (+12.70 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 26 games at home (+11.65 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 46 games at home (+6.60 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+6.00 Units / 37% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread last season, the Red Sox were 13-8 against the Run Line (+5.57 Units / 21.51% ROI).

  • 12-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 15-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.25 Units / 29.59% ROI
  • 7-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.25 Units / -38.7% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread last season, the Rangers were 8-11 against the Run Line (-4.42 Units / -18.36% ROI).

  • 8-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.55 Units / -14.73% ROI
  • 9-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.05 Units / -9.8% ROI
  • 10-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.03 Units / -0.14% ROI

Rangers vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Rafael Devers (BOS) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Wilyer Abreu (BOS) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Jake Burger (TEX) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Jarren Duran (BOS) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700

Rangers vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Bregman (HOU) 0.5 -235 0.5 +180
Rafael Devers (BOS) 0.5 -225 0.5 +175
Marcus Semien (TEX) 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Trevor Story (BOS) 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Wyatt Langford (TEX) 0.5 -185 0.5 +135

Rangers vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Rafael Devers (BOS) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Jarren Duran (BOS) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Alex Bregman (HOU) 0.5 +180 0.5 -235
Jake Burger (TEX) 0.5 +190 0.5 -250
Wilyer Abreu (BOS) 0.5 +200 0.5 -275

Rangers vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Garrett Crochet (CWS) 6.5 -160 6.5 +125

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Red Sox were just 18-69 (.207) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in 2024 — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.

The Red Sox were just 38-43 (.469) at home in 2024 — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.

The Red Sox are just 3-142 (.021) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Red Sox were just 17-33 (.340) vs top 10 scoring offenses in 2024 They play the Blue Jays (23rd best runs scored) today.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Rangers are just 9-122 (.069) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.

The Rangers were 39-8 (.830) when they had 10 or more hits in 2024 — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .750.

The Rangers were just 10-59 (.145) when they allowed 5 or more runs in 2024 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.

The Rangers were just 10-42 (.192) when allowing 10 or more hits in 2024 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.

Red Sox hitters have grounded into 40 double plays in 334 opportunities (12%) in close and late situations since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Red Sox hitters struck out 506 times in 1,816 PA’s (28%) against LHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Red Sox batted .300 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .267.

The Red Sox are batting .268 at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Rangers hitters slugged .495 at home in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.

Rangers hitters had an OBP of .349 (3,096 PA’s) at home in 2023 — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .324.

Rangers hitters had an OPS of .844 (3,096 PA’s) at home in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .746.

Rangers hitters had an OPS of .790 (6,306 PA’s) in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .734.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 25% against Red Sox pitchers since the 2023 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 203 of 2,891 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2023 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Red Sox pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Rangers pitchers walked 91 of 1,430 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Rangers pitchers had an ERA of 5.18 (689.2 IP) on the road in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.18.

Rangers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 40% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.

Rangers pitchers had a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

More MLB Reading:


Bet now on Red Sox vs Rangers and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

Split First Bet Offer FBO March Matchups 1080x610
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.