- The Rays are -145 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Red Sox vs Rays Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Red Sox / Rays TV Channel: FSUN | NESN
The Boston Red Sox (+120) visit George M. Steinbrenner Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-145) on Wednesday, April 16, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Tampa, FL.
This season, the Red Sox are 9-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 6-11 ATS.
Red Sox vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Sean Newcomb 0-2, 4.85 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Zack Littell 0-3, 6.89 ERA
Red Sox vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -170 | O 9.5 -120 | +120 |
| Rays | -1.5 +140 | U 9.5 +100 | -145 |
Red Sox vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 54.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+19.40 Units / 69% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+16.15 Units / 49% ROI)
- Kristian Campbell has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 away games (+14.60 Units / 146% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+14.55 Units / 40% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+14.20 Units / 48% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Junior Caminero has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+14.50 Units / 181% ROI)
- Junior Caminero has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+8.20 Units / 102% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+6.80 Units / 85% ROI)
- Danny Jansen has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+6.60 Units / 73% ROI)
- Curtis Mead has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.20 Units / 31% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.55 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 19 games (+3.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 games (+3.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 43 of their last 83 away games (+0.05 Units / 0% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 97 of their last 162 games (+27.96 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 89 of their last 162 games (+17.20 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 93 of their last 162 games (+16.50 Units / 9% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 9-10 against the Run Line (-0.65 Units / -2.69% ROI).
- 9-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.05 Units / -16.14% ROI
- 7-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.85 Units / -23.32% ROI
- 11-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.45 Units / 16.43% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 6-11 against the Run Line (-5.45 Units / -28.24% ROI).
- 8-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.1 Units / -12.92% ROI
- 8-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.75 Units / -3.94% ROI
- 8-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.4 Units / -2.18% ROI
Rays vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
Rays vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Curtis Mead (TB) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Trevor Story (BOS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Jake Mangum (TB) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Rays vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Danny Jansen (TB) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Rays vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zack Littell (TB) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -155 |
| Sean Newcomb (BOS) | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -160 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sean Newcomb has allowed a BABIP of .548 against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .278 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .435 (10-for-23) against Sean Newcomb when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .234 — first Percentile.
Sean Newcomb has allowed an OBP of .452 (62 PA’s) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .308 — second Percentile.
Sean Newcomb has allowed an OBP of .469 (49 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .303 — second Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Littell has a strike rate of 72% (179/247) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 98th Percentile.
Zack Littell has a strike rate of 72% (179/247) this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Littell has walked 8 of 395 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Littell threw breaking pitches away 88% of the time (83/94) in 2023 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Red Sox are just 14-137 (.093) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .140.
The Red Sox are just 0-8 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .117.
The Red Sox were just 17-33 (.340) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Blue Jays (23rd best runs scored) today.
The Red Sox were just 38-43 (.469) at home in the 2024 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Rays are just 0-6 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .026.
The Rays are 12-133 (.082) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rays are just 24-35 (.407) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season They play the Red Sox (23rd best runs allowed) today.
The Rays are 88-22 (.800) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .741.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters struck out 506 times in 1,816 PA’s (28%) against LHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox hitters have 546 strikeouts in 1,966 PA’s (28%) against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox hitters put just 32% of their swings in play against LHP in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Red Sox hitters are averaging 4.37 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.92.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have an OPS of just .670 (5,114 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Rays hitters slugged just .358 against RHP in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Rays hitters had an OPS of .774 (4,837 PA’s) against RHP in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
Rays hitters are slugging .453 against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .389.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .303 against Red Sox pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Red Sox pitchers walked 98 of 1,456 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 39 of 618 batters (6%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a swing rate of 52% against the Rays pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Rays pitchers walked 439 of 5,994 batters (7%) in 2023 — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
More MLB Reading:
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