- The Red Sox are -160 favorites vs the White Sox
- Red Sox vs White Sox Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Red Sox / White Sox TV Channel: NESN | CHS+
The Boston Red Sox (-160) visit Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+135) on Friday, April 11, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Red Sox are 7-7 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 7-5 ATS.
Red Sox vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Sean Newcomb 0-1, 5.20 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Davis Martin 0-1, 5.73 ERA
Red Sox vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +105 | O 8 -115 | -160 |
| White Sox | +1.5 -130 | U 8 -105 | +135 |
Red Sox vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Friday‘s MLB game with 60.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 away games (+14.65 Units / 64% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+12.40 Units / 47% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+12.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Kristian Campbell has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 away games (+11.60 Units / 232% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+11.50 Units / 49% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Michael A. Taylor has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games at home (+12.70 Units / 317% ROI)
- Miguel Vargas has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 7 games (+7.40 Units / 79% ROI)
- Omar Narvaez has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.25 Units / 75% ROI)
- Omar Narvaez has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.20 Units / 75% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+3.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 44 of their last 78 away games (+3.45 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+1.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 14 games (+1.25 Units / 7% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 44 of their last 78 games at home (+6.20 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.20 Units / 87% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.95 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+2.80 Units / 46% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 7-7 against the Run Line (+1.25 Units / 7.29% ROI).
- 7-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.9 Units / -10.86% ROI
- 4-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.65 Units / -37.42% ROI
- 9-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.55 Units / 28.98% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 7-5 against the Run Line (+1.3 Units / 8.72% ROI).
- 2-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -7 Units / -58.33% ROI
- 5-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.45 Units / -11.11% ROI
- 6-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.45 Units / 3.37% ROI
White Sox vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Alex Bregman (BOS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Kristian Campbell (BOS) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
White Sox vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman (BOS) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Lenyn Sosa (CWS) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
White Sox vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman (BOS) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Kristian Campbell (BOS) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
White Sox vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Sean Newcomb (BOS) | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +120 |
| Davis Martin (CWS) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sean Newcomb has allowed an OBP of .455 (22 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .244 — second Percentile.
Sean Newcomb has allowed an OBP of .488 (41 PA’s) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .309 — first Percentile.
Sean Newcomb has allowed a BABIP of .579 against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .276 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .500 (8-for-16) against Sean Newcomb when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .240 — third Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Davis Martin has not struck out any hitters in 18 PA’s when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Davis Martin has a strikeout rate of just 20% (4 SO in 20 PAs) with two-strikes this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 42% — third Percentile.
Davis Martin has a strikeout rate of just 12% (2 SO in 17 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 35% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (13/88) against Davis Martin this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Red Sox were just 18-69 (.207) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
The Red Sox are just 4-148 (.026) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Red Sox were just 38-43 (.469) at home in the 2024 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Red Sox are just 5-64 (.072) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The White Sox were just 26-95 (.215) after a loss in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .504.
The White Sox are just 81-38 (.681) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .858.
The White Sox were just 33-23 (.589) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The White Sox are just 9-41 (.180) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the Red Sox (ninth best runs scored) today.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have 537 strikeouts in 1,933 PA’s (28%) against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox hitters struck out 506 times in 1,816 PA’s (28%) against LHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Red Sox hitters are averaging 4.34 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.91.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .643 (9,305 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .721.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .282 (9,305 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .278 (5,869 PA’s) in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
The White Sox had a winning percentage of just 28% at home last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 10% of the time since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The White Sox won just 11% of games in which their opponents scored first last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
The White Sox won just 13% of home games in which their opponents scored first last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
White Sox pitchers walked 643 of 6,241 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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