- The Yankees are -150 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Red Sox vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Red Sox / Yankees TV Channel: ESPN
The Boston Red Sox (+115) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-135) on Sunday, July 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Red Sox are 48-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 49-42 ATS.
Red Sox vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford 4-7, 3.48 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Luis Gil 9-4, 3.42 ERA
Red Sox vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -175 | O 8.5 -105 | +115 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +145 | U 8.5 -115 | -135 |
Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 39 games (+16.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 37 games (+11.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+11.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 38 games (+10.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.70 Units / 55% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Aaron Judge has hit the Home Runs Over in 22 of his last 45 games (+23.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 37 of his last 47 games (+22.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 47 games (+18.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 47 games (+17.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 46 games (+13.55 Units / 26% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games (+14.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 42 away games (+13.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 42 away games (+11.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 45 of their last 88 games (+4.35 Units / 4% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 57 games (+16.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 34 games (+15.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 36 of their last 57 games (+12.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 41 of their last 68 games (+10.84 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 60 games (+6.05 Units / 7% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 41-47 against the Run Line (-11.55 Units / -9.91% ROI).
- 48-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.2 Units / 3.91% ROI
- 43-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.35 Units / -0.36% ROI
- 40-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.1 Units / -7.3% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 49-42 against the Run Line (+12.3 Units / 11.47% ROI).
- 55-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.2 Units / 2.39% ROI
- 48-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.75 Units / 3.74% ROI
- 40-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.85 Units / -12.84% ROI
Yankees vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -200 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
Yankees vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
Yankees vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Alex Verdugo (NYY) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Yankees vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kutter Crawford (BOS) | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -120 |
| Luis Gil (NYY) | 6.5 +135 | 6.5 -175 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% (31/98) against Kutter Crawford in two-strike counts this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — fifth Percentile.
Kutter Crawford has allowed at least one HR in each of his last eight games dating back to May 18th — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .193 (36-for-187) against Kutter Crawford this season — tied for 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 92nd Percentile.
Kutter Crawford has allowed a slugging percentage of just .217 (10 Total Bases / 46 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .364 — 93rd Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Gil has walked 48 of 372 batters (13%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Luis Gil has walked 25 of 205 right-handed batters (12%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.
Luis Gil has walked 24 of 141 batters (17%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Luis Gil has allowed three-ball counts to 27% of batters they faced (55/205 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — second Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Red Sox are 29-3 (.906) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .753.
The Red Sox are just 43-70 (.381) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Red Sox are 28-17 (.622) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .469.
The Red Sox are 18-10 (.643) after a road win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .448.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Yankees are 24-20 (.545) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Yankees are 60-18 (.769) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .620.
The Yankees are 10-13 (.435) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Yankees are 46-13 (.780) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .721.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have 279 strikeouts in 965 PA’s (29%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox hitters have 29 strikeouts in 77 PA’s (38%) against LHP over the past seven days (5 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Red Sox hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Red Sox hitters have 647 strikeouts in 2,543 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 105 walks in 942 PA’s (11%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 379 walks in 3,659 PA’s (10%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 217 walks in 2,060 PA’s (10%) against starting pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Yankees are batting just .219 with two outs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 230 of 3,306 batters (7%) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 49 of 791 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.34 (396.1 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.20.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .205 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .200 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.
The Yankees have won 47% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .223 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Yankees vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Wyatt Mills (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Zack Kelly (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Day-To-Day
- Bryan Mata (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Back, Day-To-Day
- Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Rob Refsnyder (Boston Red Sox): Toe, 10-Day IL
- Yu Chang (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Out
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