- The Yankees are -200 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Red Sox vs Yankees Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Red Sox / Yankees TV Channel: YES | NESN | MLBN
The Boston Red Sox (+165) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-200) on Friday, June 6, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx, NY, NY.
This season, the Red Sox are 30-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 29-32 ATS.
Red Sox vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Walker Buehler 4-3, 4.44 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Will Warren 3-3, 5.20 ERA
Red Sox vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -125 | O 9 -115 | +165 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +105 | U 9 -105 | -200 |
Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s MLB game with 60.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games (+22.50 Units / 321% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 away games (+10.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 8 games (+8.90 Units / 78% ROI)
- Wilyer Abreu has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- Kristian Campbell has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.45 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games at home (+19.90 Units / 199% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+8.60 Units / 123% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+7.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 games at home (+7.25 Units / 73% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 20 away games (+12.95 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 26 away games (+8.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 54 games (+8.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 31 away games (+6.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.40 Units / 31% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 46 games (+13.72 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 61 games (+10.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 14 games at home (+10.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 53 games (+8.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 61 games (+7.95 Units / 8% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 31-32 against the Run Line (+1.05 Units / 1.33% ROI).
- 30-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.81 Units / -15.93% ROI
- 29-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.42 Units / -11.9% ROI
- 34-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.45 Units / 3.5% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 29-32 against the Run Line (-2.55 Units / -3.66% ROI).
- 38-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.25 Units / 5.34% ROI
- 25-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.7 Units / -17.56% ROI
- 34-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.67 Units / 9.86% ROI
Yankees vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -210 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Trent Grisham (NYY) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Yankees vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Cody Bellinger (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Yankees vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Cody Bellinger (NYY) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Yankees vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Warren (NYY) | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +120 |
| Walker Buehler (BOS) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -118 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Walker Buehler has allowed an OBP of .373 (225 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 88 total IP; League Avg: .299 — 0 Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 54% of Walker Buehler’s pitches (351/645) with two-strikes since last season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 88 total IP; League Avg: 60% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .310 (63-for-203) against Walker Buehler when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 88 total IP; League Avg: .235 — first Percentile.
Walker Buehler has a in-zone of just 35% (85/246) in two strike counts this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Will Warren has thrown just 45% of his pitches in the strike zone (265/590) vs left-handed batters this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 51% — fourth Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 41% of Will Warren’s pitches (397/966) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 0 Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 40% (236/590) against Will Warren this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 47% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 36% (239/656) against Will Warren in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Red Sox are just 4-167 (.023) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Red Sox are just 7-80 (.080) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .142.
The Red Sox were just 18-69 (.207) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
The Red Sox were just 5-58 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Yankees are 53-29 (.646) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season They play the Red Sox (23rd best runs allowed) today.
The Yankees were 37-21 (.638) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Tigers (fifth best runs allowed) today.
The Yankees were 48-10 (.828) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Yankees are 68-42 (.618) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .470.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters struck out 506 times in 1,816 PA’s (28%) against LHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Red Sox hitters have struck out in 27% of it’s PA’s against LHP since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox hitters put just 32% of their swings in play against LHP in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 12% of their PA’s against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters drew 221 walks in 1,808 PA’s (12%) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .846 (644 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .684.
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 11% of their PA’s against LHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 44% against Red Sox pitchers since the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Red Sox pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .214 against Yankees pitchers in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
More MLB Reading:
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