- The Red Sox are -110 favorites vs the Yankees
- Red Sox vs Yankees Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Red Sox / Yankees TV Channel: FOX
The Boston Red Sox (-110) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-110) on Saturday, June 7, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:35pm EDT in Bronx, NY, NY.
This season, the Red Sox are 30-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 30-32 ATS.
Red Sox vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Garrett Crochet 5-4, 1.99 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Ryan Yarbrough 3-0, 2.83 ERA
Red Sox vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +155 | O 7.5 -102 | -110 |
| Yankees | +1.5 -190 | U 7.5 -118 | -110 |
Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+21.50 Units / 269% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 away games (+10.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Walks Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.40 Units / 42% ROI)
- Kristian Campbell has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.20 Units / 55% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+14.70 Units / 163% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.30 Units / 43% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+7.55 Units / 39% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+7.10 Units / 46% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 44% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 21 away games (+11.90 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 27 away games (+7.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 55 games (+7.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 56 games (+5.40 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 32 away games (+4.85 Units / 12% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 47 games (+12.52 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 62 games (+11.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+8.95 Units / 52% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 36 of their last 62 games (+8.95 Units / 9% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+8.80 Units / 18% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 31-33 against the Run Line (-0.2 Units / -0.25% ROI).
- 30-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.81 Units / -16.89% ROI
- 30-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.42 Units / -10.34% ROI
- 34-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.25 Units / 1.75% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 30-32 against the Run Line (-1.5 Units / -2.12% ROI).
- 39-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.25 Units / 6.24% ROI
- 26-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.7 Units / -15.82% ROI
- 34-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.47 Units / 7.95% ROI
Yankees vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Romy Gonzalez (BOS) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Rob Refsnyder (BOS) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Yankees vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +170 |
| Romy Gonzalez (BOS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Abraham Toro (BOS) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Yankees vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Cody Bellinger (NYY) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Carlos Narvaez (BOS) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Romy Gonzalez (BOS) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -295 |
Yankees vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Yarbrough (NYY) | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +120 |
| Garrett Crochet (BOS) | 7.5 -155 | 7.5 +115 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Garrett Crochet has a strikeout rate of 34% (310 SO in 922 PAs) since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Garrett Crochet had a strikeout rate of 35% (209/595) in the 2024 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Garrett Crochet has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (526/1,210) with two-strikes since last season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Garrett Crochet had a strikeout rate of 39% (108/276) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryan Yarbrough had an average fastball velocity of just 86.3 MPH in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 94.7 — 0 Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .132 (12-for-91) against Ryan Yarbrough since last season — best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .230 — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed batters hit just .132 (12-for-91) against Ryan Yarbrough in the 2024 season — 2nd best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .232 — 98th Percentile.
Ryan Yarbrough had a strikeout rate of just 28% (39/139) with two-strikes in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 45% — second Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Red Sox are just 16-152 (.095) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Red Sox were just 5-58 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Red Sox are just 7-81 (.080) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .142.
The Red Sox were just 18-69 (.207) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Yankees were 37-21 (.638) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Tigers (fifth best runs allowed) today.
The Yankees are 53-29 (.646) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season They play the Red Sox (23rd best runs allowed) today.
The Yankees are 16-8 (.667) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season They play the Red Sox (23rd best runs allowed) today.
The Yankees are 95-30 (.760) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .626.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Red Sox hitters have struck out in 27% of it’s PA’s against LHP since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Red Sox batted .300 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .428 against RHP since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have an OBP of .354 (1,278 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .836 (703 PA’s) in righty-righty matchups this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .696.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .783 (6,202 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 12% of their PA’s when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Red Sox pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Red Sox pitchers walked 98 of 1,456 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .233 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
More MLB Reading:
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