- The Yankees are -150 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Red Sox vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Red Sox / Yankees TV Channel: ATV+
The Boston Red Sox (+140) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-165) on Friday, September 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Red Sox are 74-73 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 76-71 ATS.
Red Sox vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Tanner Houck 8-10, 3.25 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Clarke Schmidt 5-3, 2.34 ERA
Red Sox vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -155 | O 8.5 -110 | +140 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +125 | U 8.5 -110 | -165 |
Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s MLB game with 56.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 24 away games (+23.70 Units / 99% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the RBIs Under in 29 of his last 35 games (+18.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- Romy Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 23 away games (+16.20 Units / 39% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+14.85 Units / 63% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+14.00 Units / 55% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Singles Over in 29 of his last 36 games (+20.20 Units / 44% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 49 games (+20.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 14 games at home (+14.35 Units / 72% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+14.00 Units / 98% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+12.25 Units / 36% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 51 away games (+13.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games (+10.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 69 away games (+7.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games (+7.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.95 Units / 54% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 56 of their last 90 games (+20.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 61 of their last 113 games (+11.75 Units / 9% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games (+10.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.15 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.00 Units / 19% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 68-79 against the Run Line (-19.75 Units / -10.2% ROI).
- 74-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.15 Units / -4.48% ROI
- 74-66 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.65 Units / 1.02% ROI
- 66-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.75 Units / -9.2% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 76-71 against the Run Line (+8.05 Units / 4.53% ROI).
- 85-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.8 Units / -5.47% ROI
- 79-64 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.15 Units / 5.02% ROI
- 64-79 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.65 Units / -14.04% ROI
Yankees vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Yankees vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Yankees vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Yankees vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tanner Houck (BOS) | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -110 |
| Clarke Schmidt (NYY) | 6.5 +110 | 6.5 -145 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 56% (276/497) against Tanner Houck this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 93rd Percentile.
Tanner Houck has allowed a slugging percentage of just .256 (60 Total Bases / 234 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .384 — 98th Percentile.
Tanner Houck has allowed an OPS of just .522 (252 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .674 — 94th Percentile.
Tanner Houck has thrown off-speed pitches 76% of the time (1,049/1,390) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Clarke Schmidt since last season is 382.9 feet — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 398.5
The average home run distance against Clarke Schmidt in the 2023 season was 382.5 feet — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 399.3
Clarke Schmidt had an average spin rate of 2627.0 RPM on fastballs in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 2239.5 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 19% (82/427) against Clarke Schmidt since the 2022 season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 187 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 96th Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Red Sox are just 5-200 (.024) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Red Sox are just 31-130 (.193) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .270.
The Red Sox are just 57-50 (.533) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .589.
The Red Sox are 23-17 (.575) after a road win this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .464.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Yankees are 45-10 (.818) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .642.
The Yankees are 27-20 (.574) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Yankees are 27-15 (.643) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .464.
The Yankees are just 18-31 (.367) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .415.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have 482 strikeouts in 1,700 PA’s (28%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Red Sox are batting .269 at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Red Sox are batting .393 in hitter’s counts this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .339.
The Red Sox are batting .257 with two outs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 313 walks in 2,829 PA’s (11%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 475 walks in 4,378 PA’s (11%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 201 walks in 1,661 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have a groundball batting average of just .219 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 192 of 2,757 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have 235 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 3rd most in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Red Sox pitchers this month (11 games) — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .206 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .229 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .256.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Yankees vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- New York Yankees – No Injuries Reported
- Boston Red Sox – No Injuries Reported
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