- The Reds are -118 favorites vs the Braves
- Reds vs Braves Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Reds / Braves TV Channel: FDOH | FDSO | FDSE | MLBN
The Cincinnati Reds (+100) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-120) on Wednesday, May 7, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Atlanta, GA, GA.
This season, the Reds are 18-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 17-18 ATS.
Reds vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Hunter Greene 4-2, 2.51 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Grant Holmes 2-2, 4.24 ERA
Reds vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -210 | O 7.5 -102 | +100 |
| Braves | -1.5 +170 | U 7.5 -118 | -120 |
Reds vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+10.90 Units / 49% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- Matt McLain has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.90 Units / 41% ROI)
- Gavin Lux has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+7.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.65 Units / 55% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Matt Olson has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+12.75 Units / 142% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.05 Units / 37% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- Eli White has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.50 Units / 40% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 26 games (+5.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 away games (+3.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 36 games (+3.00 Units / 7% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in their last 7 games at home (+7.05 Units / 84% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games (+5.95 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+5.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 14 games at home (+4.70 Units / 32% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 20-17 against the Run Line (-1.45 Units / -2.79% ROI).
- 18-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -4.46% ROI
- 16-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -6 Units / -14.8% ROI
- 20-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.25 Units / 5.51% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 17-18 against the Run Line (-1.1 Units / -2.6% ROI).
- 17-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.1 Units / -13.95% ROI
- 15-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.75 Units / -9.64% ROI
- 17-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.65 Units / 1.7% ROI
Braves vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Matt McLain (CIN) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Braves vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Santiago Espinal (CIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| TJ Friedl (CIN) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Braves vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Gavin Lux (CIN) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Braves vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Grant Holmes (ATL) | 5.5 -130 | 5.5 +100 |
| Hunter Greene (CIN) | 7.5 +120 | 7.5 -160 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hunter Greene has thrown 148 fastballs at 100+ MPH this season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has a strike rate of 71% (478/669) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .127 (8-for-63) against Hunter Greene’s non-fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .217 — 98th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has a strike rate of 71% (271/382) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of .706 (12 GB hits out of 17 GBs) against Grant Holmes with runners in scoring position in the 2024 season — highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: .258 — first Percentile.
Grant Holmes has allowed a slugging percentage of just .270 (48 Total Bases / 178 ABs) vs left-handed batters since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: .408 — 98th Percentile.
Grant Holmes walked 15 of 282 batters (5%) in the 2024 season — 9th best among NL Relievers; League Avg: 9% — 90th Percentile.
Grant Holmes has walked 25% of batters versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 10% — 0 Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Reds are just 14-28 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 6-17 (.261) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds were just 5-16 (.238) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 10-20 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Braves are 5-12 (.294) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .122.
The Braves are 4-14 (.222) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .083.
The Braves are 23-123 (.158) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .098.
The Braves are 125-83 (.601) after a win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .505.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .119 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.
Reds hitters slugged just .151 on pitches out of the zone in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
Reds hitters are slugging just .156 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
The Reds are batting just .225 against LHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters had an OPS of .845 (6,249 PA’s) in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
The Braves batted .326 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Braves hitters slugged .521 against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
The Braves batted .288 against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Braves pitchers walked 85 of 1,447 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Batters facing the Braves pitchers have struck out in the zone 46% of the time since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Braves pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
More MLB Reading:
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