- The Braves are -190 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds vs Braves Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Reds / Braves TV Channel: FDOH | FDSO | FDSE | MLBN
The Cincinnati Reds (+154) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-190) on Thursday, May 8, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Atlanta, GA, GA.
This season, the Reds are 19-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 17-19 ATS.
Reds vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Nick Lodolo 3-3, 3.27 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Schwellenbach 1-3, 3.92 ERA
Reds vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -145 | O 8 -118 | +154 |
| Braves | -1.5 +120 | U 8 -102 | -190 |
Reds vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 59.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Gavin Lux has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+10.60 Units / 44% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.85 Units / 35% ROI)
- Matt McLain has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.90 Units / 41% ROI)
- Nick Lodolo has hit the Earned Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+7.50 Units / 46% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Austin Riley has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+11.75 Units / 117% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.20 Units / 42% ROI)
- Eli White has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.50 Units / 40% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 28 games (+7.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 27 games (+6.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 away games (+4.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 35 games (+3.90 Units / 8% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in their last 8 games at home (+8.05 Units / 86% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games (+6.95 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 70% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+4.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 15 games at home (+3.70 Units / 23% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 21-17 against the Run Line (-0.45 Units / -0.84% ROI).
- 19-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -2.18% ROI
- 16-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.1 Units / -17.05% ROI
- 21-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.25 Units / 7.75% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 17-19 against the Run Line (-2.1 Units / -4.85% ROI).
- 17-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.3 Units / -15.93% ROI
- 15-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.85 Units / -12.13% ROI
- 18-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.65 Units / 4.2% ROI
Braves vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Braves vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Alex Verdugo (ATL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Gavin Lux (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Braves vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Gavin Lux (CIN) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Braves vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Schwellenbach (ATL) | 5.5 -150 | 5.5 +115 |
| Nick Lodolo (CIN) | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nick Lodolo has allowed three-ball counts to 11% of batters they faced (19/174 PA’s) this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 97th Percentile.
Nick Lodolo has allowed three-ball counts to 11% of batters they faced (19/174 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 19% — 97th Percentile.
Nick Lodolo has allowed an OPS of just .436 (63 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd best among among NL Starters; League Avg: .661 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .158 (9-for-57) against Nick Lodolo when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .228 — 91st Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 26% (18/69) against Spencer Schwellenbach this season — 2nd highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 16% — 97th Percentile.
Spencer Schwellenbach has allowed a slugging percentage of just .150 (3 Total Bases / 20 ABs) when behind in the count this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .560 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .458 (11-for-24) against Spencer Schwellenbach on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .332 — ninth Percentile.
Spencer Schwellenbach has walked 3% of batters when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 5th best among among NL Starters; League Avg: 8% — 91st Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Reds were just 5-16 (.238) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 14-28 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 4-79 (.048) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .097.
The Reds are just 6-75 (.074) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .140.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Braves are just 9-3 (.750) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.
The Braves are 4-15 (.211) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Braves are 5-13 (.278) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .123.
The Braves are 23-124 (.156) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .098.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .118 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.
The Reds are batting just .127 on pitches out of the zone since the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.
Reds hitters are slugging just .156 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
The Reds are batting just .224 against LHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters had an OBP of .400 (732 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Braves hitters had an OPS of .845 (6,249 PA’s) in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
Braves hitters had an OPS of .837 (4,824 PA’s) against RHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
Braves hitters slugged .495 against RHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Reds pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Batters facing the Braves pitchers have struck out in the zone 46% of the time since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
More MLB Reading:
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