- The Cubs are -175 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds vs Cubs Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Reds / Cubs TV Channel: FDOH | MARQ | MLBN
The Cincinnati Reds (+145) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-175) on Friday, May 30, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Reds are 28-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 29-27 ATS.
Reds vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott 4-0, 1.77 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Colin Rea 3-1, 3.28 ERA
Reds vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -150 | O 8.5 +100 | +145 |
| Cubs | -1.5 +125 | U 8.5 -120 | -175 |
Reds vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Friday‘s MLB game with 59.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Will Benson has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+11.70 Units / 130% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.20 Units / 87% ROI)
- Matt McLain has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+7.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- TJ Friedl has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.30 Units / 77% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+12.10 Units / 47% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.50 Units / 39% ROI)
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+9.20 Units / 33% ROI)
- Matt Shaw has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.15 Units / 80% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Walks Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+8.15 Units / 23% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 away games (+5.95 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 47 games (+5.20 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 46 games (+4.65 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 54 games (+4.20 Units / 6% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 31 of their last 54 games (+13.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 50 games (+12.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 51 games (+10.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 51 games (+9.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 52 games (+9.05 Units / 14% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 31-26 against the Run Line (-0.15 Units / -0.19% ROI).
- 28-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.9 Units / -7.01% ROI
- 23-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.75 Units / -20.53% ROI
- 33-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.65 Units / 12.09% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 29-27 against the Run Line (+1.62 Units / 2.32% ROI).
- 35-21 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.1 Units / 11.98% ROI
- 32-20 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.45 Units / 17.16% ROI
- 20-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.4 Units / -24.7% ROI
Cubs vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Dansby Swanson (CHC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Cubs vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Santiago Espinal (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
Cubs vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Carson Kelly (CHC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Cubs vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Abbott (CIN) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
| Colin Rea (CHC) | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -165 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 17% (17/101) against Andrew Abbott’s slider since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (118/406) against Andrew Abbott’s off-speed pitches since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 20% (21/103) against Andrew Abbott’s curve and slider in 2023 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Andrew Abbott has a in-zone of just 48% (76/158) when he’s behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: 59% — 0 Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 19% (240/1,241) against Colin Rea in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.
Colin Rea had a strikeout rate of just 17% (50/285) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.
Opponents batted .424 (39-for-92) against Colin Rea on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .330 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .227 against Colin Rea on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 11th best among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP– 91st Percentile. Opponents batted .424 (39-for-92) against him on the first pitch of at-bats last season — fourth worst among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP– third Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Reds are just 6-83 (.067) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Reds are just 6-18 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds were just 5-16 (.238) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 14-29 (.326) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Cubs are 46-12 (.793) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .636.
The Cubs are 2-17 (.105) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .041.
The Cubs are 16-5 (.762) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .488.
The Cubs are 17-11 (.607) on the road this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .439.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds batted just .116 on pitches out of the zone in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.
Reds hitters are slugging just .158 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .203.
Reds hitters slugged just .151 on pitches out of the zone in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
The Reds are batting just .127 on pitches out of the zone since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .842 (1,133 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Cubs are batting .416 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Cubs hitters are slugging .501 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .387.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .825 (542 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .686.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% against Reds pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 9% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Batters facing the Cubs pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 46% of the time this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Cubs pitchers have an ERA of 3.23 (993.0 IP) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.94.
Cubs pitchers had a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
More MLB Reading:
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