- The Cubs are -150 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds vs Cubs Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Reds / Cubs TV Channel: MARQ | BSOH | MLBN
The Cincinnati Reds (+125) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-150) on Friday, May 31, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Reds are 24-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 29-28 ATS.
Reds vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Graham Ashcraft 4-3, 4.70 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Javier Assad 4-1, 2.16 ERA
Reds vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -160 | O 8.5 -105 | +125 |
| Cubs | -1.5 +135 | U 8.5 -115 | -150 |
Reds vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Friday‘s MLB game with 53.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Reds vs Cubs and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Stuart Fairchild has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+14.00 Units / 140% ROI)
- Luke Maile has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 42 games (+11.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+9.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Stolen Bases Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.30 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 45 games (+15.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 45 games (+13.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+13.55 Units / 41% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 26 games (+12.05 Units / 46% ROI)
- Michael Busch has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+11.25 Units / 33% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 41 games (+11.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+10.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 38 games (+7.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games (+6.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.80 Units / 39% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 31 games (+11.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+8.20 Units / 73% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+8.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 26 games at home (+3.50 Units / 10% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 31-25 against the Run Line (+3.75 Units / 5.06% ROI).
- 24-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.45 Units / -12.88% ROI
- 25-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.45 Units / -12.03% ROI
- 29-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.35 Units / 2.2% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 29-28 against the Run Line (-6.1 Units / -7.53% ROI).
- 28-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.25 Units / -0.37% ROI
- 25-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.25 Units / -14.74% ROI
- 31-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.4 Units / 5.42% ROI
Cubs vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Cubs vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Mike Tauchman (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Cubs vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
Cubs vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Javier Assad (CHC) | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +120 |
| Graham Ashcraft (CIN) | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Graham Ashcraft allowed an OBP of .556 (18 PA’s) against right-handed batters — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .269 — first Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft has an ERA of 7.36 (95.1 IP) against division opponents since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 151 total IP; League Avg: 3.96 — 0 Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft has allowed an OBP of .424 (66 PA’s) against right-handed batters this month (5 games) — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .283 — second Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft has walked 6 of 45 batters (13%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (5 games) — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — fourth Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Javier Assad has allowed an OPS of just .401 (198 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 151 total IP; League Avg: .725 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .112 (16-for-143) against Javier Assad with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: .254 — 100th Percentile.
Javier Assad has allowed an OPS of just .227 (51 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .680 — 100th Percentile.
Javier Assad has allowed an OPS of just .366 (167 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: .738 — 100th Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Reds are just 24-28 (.462) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.
The Reds are just 58-43 (.574) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Reds are just 9-16 (.360) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 49-52 (.485) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .636.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Cubs are 27-24 (.529) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .429.
The Cubs are just 40-41 (.494) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.
The Cubs are just 16-31 (.340) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .427.
The Cubs are just 5-84 (.056) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .127 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .167.
The Reds are batting just .101 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .155.
Reds hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Reds hitters have drawn 77 walks in 680 PA’s (11%) against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting .290 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Cubs hitters are slugging just .238 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .385.
The Cubs are batting just .228 this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .349 (935 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .329.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .295 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have walked 1,394 of 14,623 batters (10%) since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 33% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 49 of 508 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
The Cubs have won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Cubs vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Patrick Wisdom (Chicago Cubs): Back, 10-Day IL
- Justin Steele (Chicago Cubs): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Brennen Davis (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, Out
- Tyler Duffey (Chicago Cubs): Back, Day-To-Day
- Jameson Taillon (Chicago Cubs): Back, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
Bet now on Reds vs Cubs and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
