Reds vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 7

FILE -San Francisco Giants third baseman J.D. Davis throws to first to get Los Angeles Dodgers designated hitter J.D. Martinez on a ground out during the first inning of a baseball game in Los Angeles, Friday, Sept. 22, 2023. Utilityman J.D. Davis went to a hearing Wednesday, Feb. 7, 2024 asking for a raise from $4.21 million to $6.9 million rather than the San Francisco Giants' $6.55 million offer.(AP Photo/Alex Gallardo, File)
(AP Photo/Alex Gallardo)
  • The Giants are -155 favorites vs the Reds
  • Reds vs Giants Over / Under today: 7 Runs
  • Reds / Giants TV Channel: FDOH | NSBA

The Cincinnati Reds (+130) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-155) on Monday, April 7, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.

This season, the Reds are 3-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 7-2 ATS.

Reds vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Reds starting pitcher: Hunter Greene 0-1, 2.25 ERA
  • Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb 1-0, 3.09 ERA

Reds vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Reds+1.5 -190O 7 -120+130
Giants -1.5 +155U 7 +100-155

Reds vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Monday‘s MLB game with 57.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Santiago Espinal has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 away games (+13.55 Units / 30% ROI)
  • TJ Friedl has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+9.65 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.85 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 15 away games (+8.70 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+7.45 Units / 35% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Wilmer Flores has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+21.80 Units / 272% ROI)
  • Logan Webb has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+8.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.30 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Heliot Ramos has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+7.40 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+7.20 Units / 78% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 86 of their last 147 games (+17.00 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 82 of their last 144 games (+11.95 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 77 of their last 146 games (+9.90 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 away games (+8.30 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 56 away games (+5.45 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 27 games at home (+12.35 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 65 of their last 121 games (+8.95 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 36 of their last 75 games (+8.02 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 72 of their last 130 games (+6.08 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 5-5 against the Run Line (-2 Units / -12.62% ROI).

  • 3-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.4 Units / -41.31% ROI
  • 5-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.4 Units / -3.65% ROI
  • 5-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.45 Units / -4.07% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 7-2 against the Run Line (+6.9 Units / 60% ROI).

  • 8-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.45 Units / 70.28% ROI
  • 6-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.7 Units / 27.84% ROI
  • 3-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.8 Units / -37.62% ROI

Giants vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +450 0.5 -625
Willy Adames (SF) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Heliot Ramos (SF) 0.5 +725 0.5 -1200
Mike Yastrzemski (SF) 0.5 +750 0.5 -1200
LaMonte Wade Jr (SF) 0.5 +850 0.5 -1600

Giants vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
TJ Friedl (CIN) 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Elly De La Cruz (CIN) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Jung-hoo Lee (SF) 0.5 -185 0.5 +140
Gavin Lux (CIN) 0.5 -175 0.5 +135

Giants vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Gavin Lux (CIN) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Elly De La Cruz (CIN) 0.5 +210 0.5 -295
Heliot Ramos (SF) 0.5 +210 0.5 -295
Jeimer Candelario (CIN) 0.5 +220 0.5 -300

Giants vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Hunter Greene (CIN) 6.5 -145 6.5 +110
Logan Webb (SF) 5.5 +110 5.5 -145

Hunter Greene has thrown 66 fastballs at 100+ MPH this season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Hunter Greene has a strike rate of 75% (133/178) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.

Hunter Greene has allowed an OBP of just .111 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — 98th Percentile.

Hunter Greene has a strikeout rate of 50% (9 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Logan Webb threw his changeup 48% of the time (465/963) with two-strikes in 2023 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% (368/648) against Logan Webb since last season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 94th Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 57% (351/617) against Logan Webb in the 2024 season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 94th Percentile.

Logan Webb threw his changeup 31% of the time (260/848) on the first pitch of at-bats in 2023 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Reds are just 13-27 (.325) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds were just 8-18 (.308) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .498.

The Reds were just 5-16 (.238) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds are just 22-33 (.400) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Giants are 23-139 (.142) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .099.

The Giants are 11-144 (.071) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Giants were just 20-24 (.455) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Reds (16th best runs scored) today.

The Giants are 138-4 (.972) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .950.

Reds hitters are slugging just .033 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .198.

Reds hitters are slugging just .146 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.

The Reds are batting just .113 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.

The Reds are batting just .033 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .146.

Giants hitters had an OPS of just .683 (1,790 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .742.

Giants hitters have chased 20% of pitches out of the zone with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

Giants hitters slugged just .376 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.

Giants hitters had an OBP of just .232 (3,303 PA’s) with two-strikes in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Reds pitchers have walked 3 of 87 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Reds pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .195 (87 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.