- The Mariners are -150 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Reds / Mariners TV Channel: BSOH | RTNW
The Cincinnati Reds (+125) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-150) on Monday, April 15, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:42pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Reds are 8-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 5-9 ATS.
Reds vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Frankie Montas 2-1, 2.16 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby 1-2, 6.76 ERA
Reds vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -165 | O 7.5 -120 | +125 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +140 | U 7.5 +100 | -150 |
Reds vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Monday‘s MLB game with 55.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- player high – away
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- player high – home
Reds Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 7-7 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 8-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.05 Units / 5.74% ROI
- 10-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.5 Units / 35.83% ROI
- 4-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.15 Units / -46.28% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 5-9 against the Run Line (-5.65 Units / -29.27% ROI).
- 6-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.4 Units / -20.36% ROI
- 5-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.65 Units / -23.93% ROI
- 8-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.4 Units / 15.38% ROI
Mariners vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Mitch Haniger (SEA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Luke Raley (SEA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Mariners vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jonathan India (CIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Ty France (SEA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
Mariners vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mitch Haniger (SEA) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Ty France (SEA) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Mariners vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| George Kirby (SEA) | 6.5 -150 | 6.5 +110 |
| Frankie Montas (CIN) | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -120 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Frankie Montas has a strike rate of 79% (45/57) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among in NL; League Avg: 69% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% (7/21) against Frankie Montas in two-strike counts this season — tied for 4th lowest among in NL; League Avg: 46% — 10th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .235 (8-for-34) against Frankie Montas with two-strikes this season — 7th highest among in NL; League Avg: .159 — 12th Percentile.
Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 25% (90/359) against Frankie Montas since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .391 (9-for-23) against George Kirby’s non-fastballs this season — tied for 2nd highest among in AL; League Avg: .214 — sixth Percentile.
George Kirby had a strike rate of 71% (2,002/2,825) in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has a strike rate of 72% (186/258) this season — 2nd highest among in AL; League Avg: 65% — 98th Percentile.
George Kirby has a strike rate of 74% (92/125) against right-handed batters this season — highest among in AL; League Avg: 66% — 100th Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Reds are just 41-47 (.466) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .638.
The Reds were just 24-12 (.667) when they had 5 or more XBH in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Reds are 26-13 (.667) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .590.
The Reds are 14-69 (.169) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .101.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Mariners are 85-13 (.867) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .730.
The Mariners are 13-11 (.520) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .425.
The Mariners are 81-2 (.976) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Mariners are 10-136 (.068) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have put just 25% of their swings in play on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Reds hitters have 23 extra-base hits out of 40 total hits (57%) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Reds hitters have 37 extra-base hits out of 80 total hits (46%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Reds hitters have grounded into 28 double plays in 205 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging just .154 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Mariners hitters put just 33% of their swings in play against LHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Mariners hitters have 132 strikeouts in 424 PA’s (31%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .264 (424 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have walked 287 of 3,005 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .298 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 458 of 6,602 batters (7%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers walked 421 of 6,006 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 9 of 214 batters (4%) over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers walked 97 of 1,455 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mitch Garver (Seattle Mariners): Back, Day-To-Day
- Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, 10-Day IL
- Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Bryan Woo (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
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