- The Mariners are -130 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Reds / Mariners TV Channel: BSOH | RTNW
The Cincinnati Reds (+110) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-130) on Tuesday, April 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Reds are 9-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 6-11 ATS.
Reds vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Hunter Greene 0-1, 4.86 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert 0-0, 2.66 ERA
Reds vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -200 | O 7 -115 | +110 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +165 | U 7 -105 | -130 |
Reds vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 55.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Noelvi Marte has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Noelvi Marte has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 72% ROI)
- Andrew Abbott has hit the Strikeouts Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.05 Units / 41% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+6.95 Units / 71% ROI)
- Graham Ashcraft has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.95 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luis Castillo has hit the Earned Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- Mitch Garver has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- Logan Gilbert has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 30 games (+7.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- Luis Urias has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Mitch Garver has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 40% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 67 away games (+23.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 70 of their last 114 games (+17.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 72 games (+16.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 41 of their last 65 away games (+14.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 away games (+4.93 Units / 22% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 61 games (+11.71 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 52 games (+11.13 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 82 games (+8.75 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 50 of their last 86 games (+7.14 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.10 Units / 60% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 8-8 against the Run Line (-0.7 Units / -3.56% ROI).
- 9-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.05 Units / 5.05% ROI
- 12-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.5 Units / 42.49% ROI
- 4-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.25 Units / -52.71% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 6-11 against the Run Line (-6.55 Units / -28.79% ROI).
- 7-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.8 Units / -23.36% ROI
- 6-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.85 Units / -26.08% ROI
- 10-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.35 Units / 17.72% ROI
Mariners vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Mitch Haniger (SEA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Mariners vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan India (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Jake Fraley (CIN) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
Mariners vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Mitch Haniger (SEA) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Mariners vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hunter Greene (CIN) | 7.5 -150 | 7.5 +115 |
| Logan Gilbert (SEA) | 7.5 +115 | 7.5 -150 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
68% of Hunter Greene’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has thrown inside pitches 58% of the time (40/69) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has had second base stolen on him 5 times this season — tied for most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has struck out 35% (193/557) of left-handed batters he faced since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 45% (19/42) against Logan Gilbert this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has a strikeout rate of 66% (23 SO in 35 PAs) with two-strikes this season — best among in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has thrown breaking pitches 58% of the time (31/53) when behind in the count this season — 3rd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 95th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has a strikeout rate of 66% (23 SO in 35 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 98th Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Reds are just 27-13 (.675) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .791.
The Reds were 27-19 (.587) after a road win in 2023 — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .494.
The Reds are just 53-40 (.570) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Reds are just 20-25 (.444) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .589.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Mariners are 138-12 (.920) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .868.
The Mariners were 77-2 (.975) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2023 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Mariners are 31-33 (.477) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Mariners are 86-13 (.869) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have 24 extra-base hits out of 42 total hits (57%) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Reds hitters have 61 extra-base hits out of 133 total hits (46%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Reds hitters have 42 extra-base hits out of 86 total hits (49%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Reds hitters are slugging .653 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .554.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging just .149 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Mariners hitters have 5 extra-base hits out of 31 total hits (just 16%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
The Mariners are batting just .117 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .165.
The Mariners are batting just .228 at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .299 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .391 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Reds pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 458 of 6,635 batters (7%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Mariners pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners pitchers walked 97 of 1,455 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers walked 421 of 6,006 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mitch Garver (Seattle Mariners): Back, Day-To-Day
- Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, 10-Day IL
- Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Bryan Woo (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
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