- The Marlins are -130 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Reds / Marlins TV Channel: FDOH | FDFL
The Cincinnati Reds (+100) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-120) on Wednesday, April 23, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Miami, FL, FL.
This season, the Reds are 11-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 12-11 ATS.
Reds vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Brady Singer 3-0, 3.80 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Sandy Alcantara 2-1, 7.28 ERA
Reds vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | -1.5 +165 | O 8.5 -120 | +100 |
| Marlins | +1.5 -200 | U 8.5 +100 | -120 |
Reds vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Austin Hays has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+14.90 Units / 149% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.50 Units / 29% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.35 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.20 Units / 51% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+12.10 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Connor Norby has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+15.20 Units / 39% ROI)
- Eric Wagaman has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+13.00 Units / 260% ROI)
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+11.10 Units / 56% ROI)
- Otto Lopez has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 25 games at home (+10.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- Otto Lopez has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+8.70 Units / 28% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.05 Units / 21% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.05 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.30 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.20 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 23 games (+3.20 Units / 13% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 13-11 against the Run Line (-1.35 Units / -3.83% ROI).
- 11-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.45 Units / -5.35% ROI
- 12-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.1 Units / -0.38% ROI
- 11-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.05 Units / -7.81% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 12-11 against the Run Line (-0.4 Units / -1.4% ROI).
- 11-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.2 Units / 13.42% ROI
- 15-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.8 Units / 22.39% ROI
- 8-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.3 Units / -33.6% ROI
Marlins vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Mervis (MIA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Kyle Stowers (MIA) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Matt McLain (CIN) | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -1200 |
Marlins vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Otto Lopez (MIA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Gavin Lux (CIN) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Eric Wagaman (MIA) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Marlins vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gavin Lux (CIN) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Eric Wagaman (MIA) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Matt Mervis (MIA) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Marlins vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Sandy Alcantara (MIA) | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +110 |
| Brady Singer (CIN) | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -135 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brady Singer threw his slider 58% of the time (470/813) with two-strikes in the 2024 season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Brady Singer threw his slider 44% of the time (726/1,643) vs left-handed batters in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.
Brady Singer has thrown inside pitches 59% of the time (136/231) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Brady Singer walked 13 of 286 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game in the 2024 season — tied for 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 93rd Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sandy Alcantara had a strike rate of 71% (560/787) in two strike counts in 2023 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters swung at 67% of Sandy Alcantara’s pitches (529/787) with two-strikes in 2023 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 59% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters had a chase rate of 39% (236/599) against Sandy Alcantara in 2023 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 99th Percentile.
Sandy Alcantara had a strike rate of 72% (932/1,301) against right-handed batters in 2023 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Reds were just 5-16 (.238) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 0-11 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .081.
The Reds are just 4-74 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .097.
The Reds are just 14-27 (.341) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Marlins are just 45-16 (.738) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .860.
The Marlins were just 14-31 (.311) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Mets (seventh best runs scored) today.
The Marlins were just 20-41 (.328) after a win in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .496.
The Marlins are 4-10 (.286) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .114.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .185 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .231.
Reds hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Reds hitters are slugging just .153 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
The Reds are batting just .126 on pitches out of the zone since the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Marlins had a winning percentage of just 37% at home last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
The Marlins batted .281 against LHP in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Marlins hitters had an OBP of just .286 (1,976 PA’s) against LHP in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% against Reds pitchers over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers had an ERA of 5.37 (751.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.24 (891.1 IP) at home since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.93.
The longest HR allowed by the Marlins pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 518.2 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
The Marlins allowed 6.04 runs per game (489/81) at home in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
More MLB Reading:
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