- The Phillies are -145 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds vs Phillies Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Reds / Phillies TV Channel: TBS | NSP+ | BSOH
The Cincinnati Reds (+120) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-145) on Tuesday, April 2, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Reds are 3-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 1-3 ATS.
Reds vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Graham Ashcraft 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Spencer Turnbull 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Reds vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -165 | O 8.5 -120 | +120 |
| Phillies | -1.5 +140 | U 8.5 +100 | -145 |
Reds vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 53.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Noelvi Marte has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Noelvi Marte has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 72% ROI)
- Graham Ashcraft has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.35 Units / 57% ROI)
- Noelvi Marte has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 6 games (+6.75 Units / 75% ROI)
- Hunter Greene has hit the Strikeouts Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 68% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brandon Marsh has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 10 games at home (+10.50 Units / 87% ROI)
- Brandon Marsh has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+10.50 Units / 56% ROI)
- Brandon Marsh has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games at home (+10.45 Units / 88% ROI)
- Ranger Suarez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+9.95 Units / 37% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+9.65 Units / 121% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 67 away games (+23.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 93 of their last 156 games (+19.55 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 72 games (+16.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 41 of their last 65 away games (+14.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 away games (+4.93 Units / 22% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 118 games (+13.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 70 games (+11.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 42 games at home (+8.78 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.18 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.21 Units / 41% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 2-2 against the Run Line (+0.35 Units / 7.61% ROI).
- 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.45 Units / 24.37% ROI
- 4-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +4 Units / 90.91% ROI
- 0-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.4 Units / -100% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 1-3 against the Run Line (-3.05 Units / -55.96% ROI).
- 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.2 Units / -49.44% ROI
- 4-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +4 Units / 90.91% ROI
- 0-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.4 Units / -100% ROI
Phillies vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| T. Realmuto | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Harper | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| India | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -1400 |
| De La Cruz | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Stephenson | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -2000 |
Phillies vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| T. Realmuto | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Harper | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| India | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| De La Cruz | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
| Stephenson | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -105 |
Phillies vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| T. Realmuto | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Harper | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| De La Cruz | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Stephenson | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -375 |
| India | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -375 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Graham Ashcraft has an ERA of 7.33 (89.2 IP) against division opponents since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 3.94 — 0 Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft has thrown fastballs 70% of the time (1,372/1,953) vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .303 (156-for-515) against Graham Ashcraft since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .248 — second Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft has allowed an OPS of .865 (579 PA’s) against right-handed batters since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .713 — third Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Spencer Turnbull has limited playing time.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Reds are just 40-46 (.465) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .637.
The Reds are just 50-38 (.568) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Reds are 25-10 (.714) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .594.
The Reds are just 18-24 (.429) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .586.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Phillies were 19-11 (.633) after a home loss in 2023 — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .508.
The Phillies were 7-64 (.099) when trailing entering the 9th inning in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .051.
The Phillies were 52-37 (.584) after a win in 2023 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .514.
The Phillies are 10-127 (.073) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters had a swing rate of just 45% in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Reds hitters have a swing rate of just 46% against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Reds are batting just .323 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .342.
The Reds have a winning percentage of just 44% at home since the 2022 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .774 (3,662 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Phillies hitters are slugging .511 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .451.
Phillies hitters are slugging .442 against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Phillies hitters slugged .454 against LHP in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .295 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Reds pitchers walked 613 of 6,310 batters (10%) in the 2023 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers had a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed the 25th hardest ball in play hit (118.6 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).
Phillies vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Orion Kerkering (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 15-Day IL
- Michael Lorenzen (Philadelphia Phillies): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Erich Uelmen (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, Out
- Weston Wilson (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Rafael Marchan (Philadelphia Phillies): Back, 10-Day IL
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
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