- The Phillies are -190 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds vs Phillies Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Reds / Phillies TV Channel: NSPA | BSOH | MLBN
The Cincinnati Reds (+155) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-190) on Wednesday, April 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Reds are 3-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 2-3 ATS.
Reds vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Frankie Montas 1-0, 0.00 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Reds vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -135 | O 7.5 -105 | +155 |
| Phillies | -1.5 +110 | U 7.5 -115 | -190 |
Reds vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 60.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Noelvi Marte has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Noelvi Marte has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 72% ROI)
- Graham Ashcraft has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.35 Units / 59% ROI)
- Noelvi Marte has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 6 games (+6.75 Units / 75% ROI)
- Hunter Greene has hit the Strikeouts Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 68% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brandon Marsh has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+11.80 Units / 60% ROI)
- Brandon Marsh has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 11 games at home (+11.50 Units / 84% ROI)
- Brandon Marsh has hit the Hits Over in his last 11 games at home (+11.45 Units / 86% ROI)
- Ranger Suarez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+9.95 Units / 37% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+8.65 Units / 96% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 67 away games (+23.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 93 of their last 156 games (+19.55 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 72 games (+16.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 41 of their last 65 away games (+14.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 away games (+4.93 Units / 22% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 118 games (+13.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 70 games (+11.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 42 games at home (+8.78 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.18 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.21 Units / 41% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 2-3 against the Run Line (-1.3 Units / -20.8% ROI).
- 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.45 Units / 6.47% ROI
- 5-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +5 Units / 90.09% ROI
- 0-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.45 Units / -100% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 2-3 against the Run Line (-1.55 Units / -24.03% ROI).
- 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -20.51% ROI
- 5-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +5 Units / 90.09% ROI
- 0-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.45 Units / -100% ROI
Phillies vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Benson | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| De La Cruz | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
| India | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Martini | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Maile | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -2000 |
Phillies vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Montas | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +125 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Frankie Montas has allowed an OPS of just .381 (21 PA’s) this season — 15th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .672 — 87th Percentile.
Frankie Montas has allowed an OPS of just .381 (21 PA’s) this season — 4th best among in MLB; League Avg: .709 — 93rd Percentile.
Frankie Montas has allowed a slugging percentage of just .190 (4 Total Bases / 21 ABs) this season — tied for 6th best among in MLB; League Avg: .396 — 91st Percentile.
Frankie Montas has not walked any of the 21 batters that he has faced this season — tied for best among in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (1,631/3,805) in non-two strike counts since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler located 43% of his pitches inside (910/2,131) in non-two strike counts in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 97th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (281/635) when behind in the count since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 42% of the time (929/2,184) in non-two strike counts since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 97th Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Reds are just 50-38 (.568) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Reds were just 24-12 (.667) when they had 5 or more XBH in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Reds are just 40-46 (.465) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .638.
The Reds are just 74-105 (.413) after a loss since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .483.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Phillies are just 13-20 (.394) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .497.
The Phillies were 36-15 (.706) when they scored in the first inning in 2023 — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .612.
The Phillies are 58-39 (.598) after a home win since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .535.
The Phillies are 105-72 (.593) after a win since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .515.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have put just 28% of their swings in play with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Reds hitters have put 56% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Reds hitters have drawn 3 walks in 53 PA’s (6%) against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Reds hitters have an OPS of .842 (139 PA’s) against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters struck out 471 times in 1,869 PA’s (25%) against LHP in the 2023 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Phillies hitters slugged .454 against LHP in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .133 (15 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .331.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .775 (3,709 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .295 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Reds pitchers have walked 276 of 2,915 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 52% against Phillies pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers have walked 203 of 2,922 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Orion Kerkering (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 15-Day IL
- Michael Lorenzen (Philadelphia Phillies): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Erich Uelmen (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, Out
- Weston Wilson (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Rafael Marchan (Philadelphia Phillies): Back, 10-Day IL
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
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