- The Reds are +100 favorites vs the Pirates
- Reds vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Reds / Pirates TV Channel: BSOH | SNPT | ESPN+
The Cincinnati Reds (+100) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-120) on Wednesday, June 19, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Reds are 35-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 40-33 ATS.
Reds vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Hunter Greene 5-2, 3.61 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Mitch Keller 8-4, 3.39 ERA
Reds vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | -1.5 +160 | O 8.5 -120 | +100 |
| Pirates | +1.5 -210 | U 8.5 +100 | -120 |
Reds vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Reds vs Pirates and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- TJ Friedl has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 14 games (+18.70 Units / 134% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 40 games (+18.05 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 36 games (+14.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+9.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- Will Benson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 19 away games (+8.70 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nick Gonzales has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 31 games (+13.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- Nick Gonzales has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 31 games (+12.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 13 games at home (+11.40 Units / 88% ROI)
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+10.10 Units / 67% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+9.80 Units / 58% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 57 games (+14.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 58 games (+11.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 34 away games (+8.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 games (+8.35 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 55 games (+7.50 Units / 10% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 62 games (+16.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 34 games (+9.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 29 games (+8.75 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+8.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.85 Units / 36% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 40-33 against the Run Line (+3.65 Units / 3.77% ROI).
- 35-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.9 Units / -3.42% ROI
- 31-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.4 Units / -15.39% ROI
- 39-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.65 Units / 5.79% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 40-33 against the Run Line (+4.76 Units / 4.99% ROI).
- 35-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -5 Units / -5.83% ROI
- 34-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.1 Units / -5.08% ROI
- 35-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.72 Units / -2.15% ROI
Pirates vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Rowdy Tellez (PIT) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Nick Gonzales (PIT) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Pirates vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Nick Gonzales (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| TJ Friedl (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Pirates vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Nick Gonzales (PIT) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Pirates vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hunter Greene (CIN) | 6.5 +110 | 6.5 -145 |
| Mitch Keller (PIT) | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -155 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hunter Greene has walked 7 of 27 batters (26%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (3 games) — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Hunter Greene has walked 9 of 43 right-handed batters (21%) this month (3 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 38% (48/125) against Hunter Greene on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has walked 9 of 43 right-handed batters (21%) this month (3 games) — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .273 (169-for-619) against Mitch Keller when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .229 — seventh Percentile.
Mitch Keller has allowed an OBP of .346 (691 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .286 — eighth Percentile.
Mitch Keller has struck out just 15% (27/179) of right-handed batters he faced this season — tied for 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — ninth Percentile.
Mitch Keller has allowed a slugging percentage of just .191 (13 Total Bases / 68 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .349 — 91st Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Reds are just 25-28 (.472) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .589.
The Reds are 29-10 (.744) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .579.
The Reds are just 52-55 (.486) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .636.
The Reds are just 63-44 (.589) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Pirates are just 28-47 (.373) after a road win since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Pirates are just 15-24 (.385) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Pirates are just 127-30 (.809) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .866.
The Pirates are 53-12 (.815) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .737.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .114 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .153.
The Reds are batting just .213 at home this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.
The Reds are batting just .132 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Reds hitters are slugging just .154 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters have 49 strikeouts in 122 PA’s (40%) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .496 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .574.
Pirates hitters have 24 extra-base hits out of 99 total hits (just 24%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .176 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .212.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .290 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 43 of 657 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,405 of 15,290 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 4 of 115 batters (4%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Pirates vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Miguel Andujar (Pittsburgh Pirates): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Colin Holderman (Pittsburgh Pirates): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Johan Oviedo (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dauri Moreta (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Carmen Mlodzinski (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Vince Velasquez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- Mike Burrows (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- JT Brubaker (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Kranick (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Endy Rodriguez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ji Hwan Bae (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
Bet now on Reds vs Pirates and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
