- The Rangers are -125 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds vs Rangers Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Reds / Rangers TV Channel: FOX
The Cincinnati Reds (+105) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-125) on Saturday, April 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Reds are 14-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 13-14 ATS.
Reds vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Hunter Greene 0-2, 4.56 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen 2-0, 2.46 ERA
Reds vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -190 | O 9 -120 | +105 |
| Rangers | -1.5 +155 | U 9 +100 | -125 |
Reds vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 53.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 17 games (+20.40 Units / 120% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+11.30 Units / 126% ROI)
- Jake Fraley has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+9.30 Units / 93% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.25 Units / 38% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.00 Units / 27% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Evan Carter has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 15 games (+22.70 Units / 151% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 17 games (+14.10 Units / 47% ROI)
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+13.30 Units / 37% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+12.95 Units / 35% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.60 Units / 54% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 67 away games (+23.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 70 of their last 114 games (+17.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 72 games (+16.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 41 of their last 65 away games (+14.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 away games (+4.93 Units / 22% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 87 of their last 154 games (+22.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 84 of their last 154 games (+20.88 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 72 games at home (+16.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 89 of their last 154 games (+15.28 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 39 games (+14.10 Units / 29% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 14-12 against the Run Line (+1.6 Units / 4.91% ROI).
- 14-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 2.46% ROI
- 14-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.65 Units / 5.75% ROI
- 11-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.6 Units / -16.11% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 13-14 against the Run Line (-3.3 Units / -8.91% ROI).
- 14-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.15 Units / -3.48% ROI
- 11-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.5 Units / -18.58% ROI
- 15-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.8 Units / 9.4% ROI
Rangers vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Will Benson (CIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Rangers vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Rangers vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Rangers vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
69% of Hunter Greene’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has struck out 35% (23/65) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 94th Percentile.
78% of Hunter Greene’s strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has a strikeout rate of 37% (170 SO in 459 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 99th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Lorenzen has walked 8 of 44 batters (18%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .000 (0 GB hits out of 11 GBs) against Michael Lorenzen this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .248 — 100th Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has a strikeout rate of just 18% (47 SO in 265 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 10th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 25% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 48% (71/149) against Michael Lorenzen on breaking pitches since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 36% — third Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Reds are just 55-40 (.579) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Reds are just 43-48 (.473) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .637.
The Reds are just 21-25 (.457) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .589.
The Reds are 15-74 (.169) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .101.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Rangers are just 6-138 (.042) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .094.
The Rangers are just 2-151 (.013) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rangers are 35-18 (.660) after a home win since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .524.
The Rangers are 29-26 (.527) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .384.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .119 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .166.
Reds hitters have 27 extra-base hits out of 55 total hits (49%) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Reds are batting just .194 on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .241.
The Reds are batting just .191 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .833 (3,620 PA’s) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .740.
Rangers hitters are slugging .485 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .784 (5,476 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .339 (1,846 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .323.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .370 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .300 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .327 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .206 against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Rangers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 39% of their games since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 105 of 1,008 batters (10%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rangers vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
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