- The Rangers are -130 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds vs Rangers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Reds / Rangers TV Channel: BSSW | BSOH
The Cincinnati Reds (+110) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-130) on Sunday, April 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:35pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Reds are 15-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 13-15 ATS.
Reds vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott 1-2, 2.60 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Dane Dunning 2-2, 4.67 ERA
Reds vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -185 | O 8.5 +100 | +110 |
| Rangers | -1.5 +150 | U 8.5 -120 | -130 |
Reds vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 18 games (+19.40 Units / 108% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+11.45 Units / 55% ROI)
- Jake Fraley has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+10.50 Units / 95% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+10.25 Units / 47% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.00 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Evan Carter has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 16 games (+21.70 Units / 136% ROI)
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 22 games (+14.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+11.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.60 Units / 46% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 67 away games (+23.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 70 of their last 114 games (+17.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 72 games (+16.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 41 of their last 65 away games (+14.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 away games (+4.93 Units / 22% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 87 of their last 154 games (+22.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 84 of their last 154 games (+20.88 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 72 games at home (+16.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 89 of their last 154 games (+15.28 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 39 games (+14.10 Units / 29% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 15-12 against the Run Line (+2.6 Units / 7.53% ROI).
- 15-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 5.37% ROI
- 15-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.65 Units / 8.89% ROI
- 11-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.7 Units / -19.22% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 13-15 against the Run Line (-4.3 Units / -11.3% ROI).
- 14-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.35 Units / -6.86% ROI
- 12-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.5 Units / -14.66% ROI
- 15-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.7 Units / 5.5% ROI
Rangers vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jonah Heim (TEX) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Rangers vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonah Heim (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Rangers vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jonah Heim (TEX) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Rangers vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Andrew Abbott has walked 7 of 45 batters (16%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Andrew Abbott has a strikeout rate of just 33% (20 SO in 61 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 13% (20/149) against Andrew Abbott in non-two strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 15% (13/84) against Andrew Abbott this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — fourth Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dane Dunning has walked 16 of 116 batters (14%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Dane Dunning has walked 9 of 68 right-handed batters (13%) this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 6% — second Percentile.
Dane Dunning has a first-pitch strike rate of just 50% (58/116) this season — lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.
Dane Dunning has walked 9 of 68 right-handed batters (13%) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Reds are just 22-25 (.468) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .589.
The Reds are 15-74 (.169) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .101.
The Reds are just 56-40 (.583) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Reds are 25-22 (.532) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Rangers are just 2-152 (.013) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rangers are just 2-64 (.030) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.
The Rangers are just 147-24 (.860) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .907.
The Rangers are just 6-139 (.041) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .093.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .121 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .167.
The Reds are batting just .198 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
The Reds are batting just .204 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
The Reds are batting just .090 with two-strikes over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .171.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .831 (3,655 PA’s) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .740.
Rangers hitters are slugging .449 against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Rangers hitters have just 152 strikeouts in 819 PA’s (19%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers hitters are slugging .485 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .369 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .300 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .322 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .301 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rangers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 40% of their games since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Rangers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in 51% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .201 against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Rangers vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
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