- The Reds are -120 favorites vs the Rockies
- Reds vs Rockies Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Reds / Rockies TV Channel: FDOH | ROTV
The Cincinnati Reds (-120) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+100) on Friday, April 25, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver, CO, CO.
This season, the Reds are 12-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 9-15 ATS.
Reds vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott 2-0, 1.64 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland 0-4, 4.85 ERA
Reds vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | -1.5 +140 | O 9.5 -120 | -120 |
| Rockies | +1.5 -170 | U 9.5 +100 | +100 |
Reds vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Friday‘s MLB game with 56.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Austin Hays has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+14.90 Units / 149% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.35 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+12.35 Units / 47% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.20 Units / 51% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jordan Beck has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+13.50 Units / 338% ROI)
- Kyle Freeland has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.20 Units / 39% ROI)
- Sean Bouchard has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 20 games at home (+8.60 Units / 43% ROI)
- Sean Bouchard has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+7.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.05 Units / 38% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.90 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 22 games (+4.55 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.05 Units / 25% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games (+6.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.25 Units / 35% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 14-11 against the Run Line (+0.2 Units / 0.55% ROI).
- 12-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.45 Units / -1.6% ROI
- 12-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.2 Units / -4.34% ROI
- 12-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.05 Units / -3.84% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 9-15 against the Run Line (-8.2 Units / -27.84% ROI).
- 4-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.6 Units / -63.29% ROI
- 8-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.4 Units / -31.88% ROI
- 15-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.25 Units / 23.63% ROI
Rockies vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Brenton Doyle (COL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Austin Hays (CIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Rockies vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Noelvi Marte (CIN) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Kyle Farmer (COL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| TJ Friedl (CIN) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Rockies vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Hays (CIN) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Matt McLain (CIN) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Rockies vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Freeland (COL) | 3.5 -120 | 3.5 -110 |
| Andrew Abbott (CIN) | 5.5 -118 | 5.5 -110 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .108 (4-for-37) against Andrew Abbott this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .241 — 100th Percentile.
Andrew Abbott has allowed an OBP of just .175 (40 PA’s) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .309 — 100th Percentile.
Andrew Abbott has located his fastball away 64% of the time (53/83) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 22% (53/239) against Andrew Abbott’s curve and slider since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 0 Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Freeland has allowed three-ball counts to 7% of batters they faced (8/110 PA’s) this season — lowest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .389 (14-for-36) against Kyle Freeland when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .226 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .517 (15-for-29) against Kyle Freeland in close and late situations since the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: .230 — first Percentile.
Kyle Freeland has a strike rate of 74% (74/100) in two strike counts this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 97th Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Reds were just 8-18 (.308) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Reds are just 0-11 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .088.
The Reds were just 5-16 (.238) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 6-16 (.273) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Rockies are just 54-9 (.844) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Rockies were just 50-9 (.833) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Rockies are just 93-22 (.802) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .901.
The Rockies are just 46-17 (.719) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters are slugging just .153 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
The Reds are batting just .116 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .149.
Reds hitters have a swing rate of just 44% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Reds batted just .116 on pitches out of the zone in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 17% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rockies hitters have struck out in 29% of it’s PA’s against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 17% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rockies have won just 25% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% against Reds pitchers over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 18% in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
More MLB Reading:
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