- The Reds are -130 favorites vs the White Sox
- Reds vs White Sox Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Reds / White Sox TV Channel: BSOH | NSCH
The Cincinnati Reds (-130) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+110) on Saturday, April 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Reds are 7-6 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 7-6 ATS.
Reds vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Nick Lodolo 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Garrett Crochet 1-1, 2.00 ERA
Reds vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | -1.5 +135 | O 8 -115 | -130 |
| White Sox | +1.5 -160 | U 8 -105 | +110 |
Reds vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Noelvi Marte has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Noelvi Marte has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 72% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.40 Units / 45% ROI)
- Will Benson has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.30 Units / 37% ROI)
- Graham Ashcraft has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.15 Units / 48% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kevin Pillar has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- Robbie Grossman has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 14 games (+6.30 Units / 45% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 5 games at home (+6.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 27% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 67 away games (+23.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 70 of their last 114 games (+17.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 72 games (+16.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 41 of their last 65 away games (+14.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 away games (+4.93 Units / 22% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 70 of their last 124 games (+16.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.24 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 6-7 against the Run Line (-1.3 Units / -8.15% ROI).
- 7-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.05 Units / 0.29% ROI
- 10-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.65 Units / 46.83% ROI
- 3-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.15 Units / -56.6% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 7-6 against the Run Line (-0.2 Units / -1.28% ROI).
- 2-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.4 Units / -56.92% ROI
- 5-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.1 Units / -21.31% ROI
- 7-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.45 Units / 10.28% ROI
White Sox vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Kevin Pillar (CWS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
White Sox vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Lenyn Sosa (CWS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Santiago Espinal (CIN) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
White Sox vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Kevin Pillar (CWS) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
White Sox vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Lodolo (CIN) | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -135 |
| Garrett Crochet (CWS) | 7.5 +120 | 7.5 -155 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a swing rate of just 30% (157/515) against Nick Lodolo on inside fastballs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 50% — 0 Percentile.
Nick Lodolo has allowed an OBP of .372 (527 PA’s) against right-handed batters since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: .306 — 0 Percentile.
Nick Lodolo has spotted his fastball inside for a strike just 54% (280/515) of the time since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 30% (333/1,106) against Nick Lodolo since the 2022 season — 15th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 92nd Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Garrett Crochet has not walked any of the 52 batters that he has faced against right-handed batters this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Garrett Crochet’s K:BB ratio is 21.0 (21/1) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.0 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 34% (44/129) against Garrett Crochet this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 95th Percentile.
Garrett Crochet has walked 1 of 67 batters (1%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Reds are just 41-47 (.466) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .637.
The Reds were 13-64 (.169) when trailing entering the 8th inning in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .101.
The Reds are just 27-12 (.692) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .792.
The Reds are just 29-41 (.414) after a home win since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The White Sox were just 51-8 (.864) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The White Sox are just 46-16 (.742) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The White Sox are just 53-8 (.855) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The White Sox are just 50-10 (.820) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .898.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have put just 23% of their swings in play on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Reds hitters have 36 extra-base hits out of 74 total hits (49%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Reds hitters have 22 extra-base hits out of 37 total hits (59%) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Reds hitters are slugging .459 against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .396.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .289 (4,595 PA’s) against RHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .290 (6,435 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .213 (3,148 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .603 (85 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.083.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .336 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .298 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have walked 707 of 6,800 batters (10%) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 4 of 113 batters (4%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers walked 654 of 6,301 batters (10%) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
White Sox vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Eloy Jimenez (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, Day-To-Day
- Yasmani Grandal (Chicago White Sox): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jake Eder (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
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