Reds vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 14

Chicago White Sox's watches the flight of the ball during a baseball game against the Los Angeles Angels Wednesday, May 31, 2023, in Chicago.
(AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast)
  • The Reds are -165 favorites vs the White Sox
  • Reds vs White Sox Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Reds / White Sox TV Channel: BSOH | NCH+

The Cincinnati Reds (-150) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+125) on Sunday, April 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Reds are 7-6 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 7-6 ATS.

Reds vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Reds starting pitcher: Graham Ashcraft 1-1, 5.41 ERA
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Mike Soroka 0-1, 6.28 ERA

Reds vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Reds-1.5 +105O 9 -110-150
White Sox +1.5 -125U 9 -110+125

Reds vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 62.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Noelvi Marte has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.00 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Noelvi Marte has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Graham Ashcraft has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.15 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Jeimer Candelario has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Noelvi Marte has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 6 games (+6.75 Units / 75% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Dominic Fletcher has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.30 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Braden Shewmake has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Braden Shewmake has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Gavin Sheets has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+4.70 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Clint Frazier has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 67 away games (+23.65 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 70 of their last 114 games (+17.90 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 72 games (+16.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 41 of their last 65 away games (+14.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 away games (+4.93 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 70 of their last 124 games (+16.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.24 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 6-7 against the Run Line (-1.3 Units / -8.15% ROI).

  • 7-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.05 Units / 0.29% ROI
  • 10-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.65 Units / 46.83% ROI
  • 3-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.15 Units / -56.6% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 7-6 against the Run Line (-0.2 Units / -1.28% ROI).

  • 2-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.4 Units / -56.92% ROI
  • 5-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.1 Units / -21.31% ROI
  • 7-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.45 Units / 10.28% ROI

White Sox vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) 0.5 +250 0.5 -300
Will Benson (CIN) 0.5 +340 0.5 -450
Elly De La Cruz (CIN) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Jonathan India (CIN) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Spencer Steer (CIN) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550

White Sox vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Lenyn Sosa (CWS) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Andrew Benintendi (CWS) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Andrew Vaughn (CWS) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Jeimer Candelario (CIN) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Elly De La Cruz (CIN) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185

White Sox vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) 0.5 +100 0.5 -135
Jeimer Candelario (CIN) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Elly De La Cruz (CIN) 0.5 +135 0.5 -185
Spencer Steer (CIN) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Will Benson (CIN) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200

White Sox vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Graham Ashcraft (CIN) 4.5 -160 4.5 +125
Michael Soroka (CWS) 4.5 -110 4.5 -115

Graham Ashcraft has an ERA of 7.36 (95.1 IP) against division opponents since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 3.98 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents batted .325 (37-for-114) against Graham Ashcraft’s elevated fastballs in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .229 — third Percentile.

Graham Ashcraft has allowed a slugging percentage of .783 (18 Total Bases / 23 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .406 — fourth Percentile.

Graham Ashcraft has allowed at least one HR in each of his last five games dating back to August 22nd, 2023 — Aaron Civale has the longest active streak at 7.

White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a swing rate of just 12% (8/64) against Mike Soroka on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest among in AL; League Avg: 30% — second Percentile.

Mike Soroka has not walked any of the 31 batters that he has faced against right-handed batters this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

Mike Soroka has a strikeout rate of just 9% (6 SO in 64 PAs) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.

Mike Soroka has a strikeout rate of just 9% (6 SO in 64 PAs) this season — lowest among in AL; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Reds are just 52-39 (.571) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.

The Reds were 13-64 (.169) when trailing entering the 8th inning in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .101.

The Reds are just 20-25 (.444) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .588.

The Reds are just 41-47 (.466) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .637.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The White Sox are just 53-8 (.855) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.

The White Sox were just 51-8 (.864) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.

The White Sox are just 49-37 (.563) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .733.

The White Sox were just 19-42 (.311) after a win in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.

Reds hitters have 23 extra-base hits out of 38 total hits (60%) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Reds hitters have 36 extra-base hits out of 74 total hits (49%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 34%.

Reds hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against LHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Reds hitters have put just 23% of their swings in play on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .213 (3,413 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .213 (3,148 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

White Sox hitters are slugging just .261 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .591.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .288 (3,183 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .333 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .298 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .254.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against White Sox pitchers in the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

White Sox pitchers have walked 711 of 6,834 batters (10%) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against White Sox pitchers since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 16% of the time since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

White Sox vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Eloy Jimenez (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, Day-To-Day
  • Yasmani Grandal (Chicago White Sox): Foot, 10-Day IL
  • Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jake Eder (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
  • Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
  • Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Hip, 10-Day IL
  • Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
  • Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
  • Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
  • TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
  • Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
  • Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
  • Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out

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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.