Rockies vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Feb 25

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The Colorado Rockies (+130) visit American Family Fields of Phoenix to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-155) on Sunday, February 25, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 3:10pm EST in Phoenix, AZ.

Last season, the Rockies were 59-103 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers were 80-84 ATS.

Rockies vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Moneyline
Rockies+130
Brewers -155

Rockies vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rockies will win Sunday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Brian Serven has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 84% ROI)
  • Elias Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Harold Castro has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.90 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.90 Units / 78% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Abraham Toro has hit the Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Raimel Tapia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+3.75 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Abraham Toro has hit the Singles Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.70 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Abraham Toro has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Raimel Tapia has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 34 away games (+15.78 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 76 away games (+12.45 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 35 away games (+11.46 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 72 games (+11.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 away games (+9.14 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 96 games (+11.05 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.58 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.08 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.60 Units / 49% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread last MLB season, the Rockies went 80-82 against the Run Line (-3.05 Units / -1.67% ROI).

  • 59-103 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.6 Units / -10.58% ROI
  • 74-87 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.45 Units / -11.97% ROI
  • 87-74 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.75 Units / 3.81% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread last MLB season, the Brewers went 80-84 against the Run Line (-7.3 Units / -3.54% ROI).

  • 92-72 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.8 Units / 2.71% ROI
  • 73-85 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.1 Units / -11.66% ROI
  • 85-73 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.55 Units / 2.53% ROI

No Matchup notes for this Game

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Colin Rea allowed an OPS of just .458 (81 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game in the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .770 — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters had a groundball rate of 53% (99/187) against Colin Rea in the 2023 season — 15th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 88th Percentile.

Opponents batted just .211 (53-for-251) against Colin Rea’s fastball in the 2023 season — tied for 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .270 — 95th Percentile.

Colin Rea allowed an OPS of .994 (100 PA’s) with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .742 — fourth Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Rockies were just 40-20 (.667) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.

The Rockies were just 44-13 (.772) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.

The Rockies were just 15-14 (.517) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.

The Rockies are just 60-56 (.517) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Brewers were 23-0 (1.000) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .790.

The Brewers were 22-9 (.710) after a home loss in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .508.

The Brewers were 19-39 (.328) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .220.

The Brewers are 25-23 (.521) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .407.

The Rockies have won just 49% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.

The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.4 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.7.

The Rockies won just 53% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.

The Rockies have won just 58% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 76%.

Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.

Brewers hitters slugged just .242 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.

Brewers hitters slugged just .366 on the road in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.

The Brewers batted just .219 with two outs in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rockies pitchers had an ERA of 6.13 (735.0 IP) at home in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.

Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 18% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Brewers pitchers had an ERA of 3.82 (703.0 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.

Brewers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.

Brewers pitchers had an ERA of 3.73 (1443.0 IP) in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.

The Brewers allowed 3.99 runs per game (647/162) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.62.

Brewers vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
  • Aaron Ashby (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Out
  • Elvis Peguero (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, Out
  • Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, Out
  • Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • J.B. Bukauskas (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, Out
  • German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
  • Austin Gomber (Colorado Rockies): Back, Out
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
  • Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
  • Kyle Freeland (Colorado Rockies): Oblique, Out
  • Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, Out

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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.

Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.