Rockies vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 6

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(AP Photo/Michael Dwyer)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 06, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Cardinals are -250 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Rockies vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Rockies / Cardinals TV Channel: ROTV | BSMW

The Colorado Rockies (+190) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-250) on Thursday, June 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.

This season, the Rockies are 21-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 29-31 ATS.

Rockies vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rockies starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill 4-4, 3.86 ERA
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 7-3, 3.00 ERA

Rockies vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+1.5 -105O 7.5 -115+190
Cardinals -1.5 -115U 7.5 -105-250

Rockies vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 63.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 15 away games (+21.60 Units / 144% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+13.55 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 35 games (+10.40 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.60 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Jacob Stallings has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+8.20 Units / 37% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Nolan Gorman has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 15 games (+22.15 Units / 148% ROI)
  • Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+15.30 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Sonny Gray has hit the Strikeouts Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.30 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Nolan Gorman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+7.05 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Alec Burleson has hit the RBIs Over in his last 4 games (+6.95 Units / 174% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 games (+11.30 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+9.60 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 25 games (+9.45 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 31 games (+7.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 away games (+5.55 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.60 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.70 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.40 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+2.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+1.75 Units / 22% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 31-30 against the Run Line (-4.65 Units / -6.2% ROI).

  • 21-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.45 Units / -9.05% ROI
  • 30-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.7 Units / -2.58% ROI
  • 29-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.95 Units / -5.97% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 29-31 against the Run Line (-5.95 Units / -7.39% ROI).

  • 29-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.5 Units / -7.82% ROI
  • 25-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -8 Units / -12.3% ROI
  • 30-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.7 Units / 4.17% ROI

Cardinals vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Gorman (STL) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Elehuris Montero (COL) 0.5 +600 0.5 -900
Matt Carpenter (STL) 0.5 +625 0.5 -1000

Cardinals vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +210
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Ivan Herrera (STL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Charlie Blackmon (COL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Brendan Rodgers (COL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Cardinals vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Alec Burleson (STL) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Nolan Gorman (STL) 0.5 +175 0.5 -225
Ivan Herrera (STL) 0.5 +175 0.5 -225

Cardinals vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Sonny Gray (STL) 6.5 -150 6.5 +115
Cal Quantrill (COL) 3.5 -150 3.5 +115

Cal Quantrill has located his pitches away 64% of the time (367/570) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Cal Quantrill has located his pitches away 64% of the time (367/570) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Cal Quantrill has located his pitches away 66% of the time (969/1,470) vs left-handed batters since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 88 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.

Cal Quantrill has allowed three-ball counts to 31% of batters they faced (40/128 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 20% — third Percentile.

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Sonny Gray has a strikeout rate of 62% (77 SO in 125 PAs) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.

Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .136 (36 Total Bases / 265 ABs) on sliders since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 88 total IP; League Avg: .393 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 39% (54/139) against Sonny Gray this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .106 (28-for-265) against Sonny Gray on sliders since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 88 total IP; League Avg: .228 — 100th Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Rockies are just 20-19 (.513) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.

The Rockies are just 57-27 (.679) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .855.

The Rockies are just 43-30 (.589) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.

The Rockies are just 70-10 (.875) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .946.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Cardinals are just 6-104 (.055) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.

The Cardinals are just 18-28 (.391) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .578.

The Cardinals are just 20-55 (.267) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .384.

The Cardinals are 29-12 (.707) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies have won just 49% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.

The Rockies have won just 45% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.

The Rockies have won just 55% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.

The Rockies have won just 58% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 76%.

Cardinals hitters are slugging just .379 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .614 (661 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .705.

The Cardinals are batting just .234 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.

The Cardinals are batting just .208 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 34% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Cardinals pitchers have walked 33 of 529 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Cardinals vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
  • Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
  • Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
  • Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
  • Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
  • Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
  • German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.