- The Cubs are -225 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies / Cubs TV Channel: MARQ | ROTV | MLBN
The Colorado Rockies (+185) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-225) on Monday, April 1, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Rockies are 1-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 2-1 ATS.
Rockies vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -115 | O 7 +100 | +185 |
| Cubs | -1.5 -105 | U 7 -120 | -225 |
Rockies vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Monday‘s game with 64.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Cal Quantrill has hit the Strikeouts Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.60 Units / 46% ROI)
- Kyle Freeland has hit the Strikeouts Under in his last 11 away games (+11.10 Units / 72% ROI)
- Alan Trejo has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+8.55 Units / 50% ROI)
- Alan Trejo has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+7.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- Austin Gomber has hit the Earned Runs Under in 16 of his last 24 games (+7.05 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Over in 39 of his last 50 games (+20.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+15.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 30 of his last 44 games (+13.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- Miles Mastrobuoni has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 11 games at home (+9.20 Units / 84% ROI)
- Miles Mastrobuoni has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+7.00 Units / 87% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 34 away games (+15.78 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 76 away games (+12.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 35 away games (+11.46 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 72 games (+11.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 away games (+9.14 Units / 43% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+9.21 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 34 games at home (+7.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 68 games at home (+7.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 61 games at home (+6.79 Units / 10% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 1-3 against the Run Line (-2.3 Units / -51.11% ROI).
- 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.4 Units / -35% ROI
- 3-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.95 Units / 42.86% ROI
- 1-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.1 Units / -49.41% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 2-1 against the Run Line (+0.2 Units / 3.7% ROI).
- 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.9 Units / -30% ROI
- 2-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.95 Units / 28.36% ROI
- 1-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.1 Units / -33.85% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 20% (178/910) against Dakota Hudson since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 28% — first Percentile.
Dakota Hudson has allowed an OBP of .397 (272 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .289 — 0 Percentile.
Dakota Hudson had a strikeout rate of just 13% (45/354) in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 46 of Dakota Hudson’s 354 elevated fastballs out of the zone (13%) since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 0 Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shota Imanaga is making his MLB debut today.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Rockies were just 15-14 (.517) when they had 5 or more XBH in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Rockies are just 60-56 (.517) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Rockies were just 41-20 (.672) when leading entering the 7th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The Rockies are just 84-49 (.632) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .793.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Cubs were just 7-12 (.368) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2023 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are just 33-38 (.465) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .586.
The Cubs are just 19-26 (.413) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .496.
The Cubs were 27-4 (.871) when they had 5 or more XBH in 2023 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .790.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have won just 46% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies have won just 50% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Rockies won just 53% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.
The Rockies are batting .276 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters slugged .456 against LHP in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
The Cubs batted .287 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Cubs hitters slugged .509 in lefty-lefty matchups in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .376.
Cubs hitters had an OPS of .868 (319 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .691.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 18% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rockies pitchers had an ERA of 6.13 (735.0 IP) at home in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.3 MPH (4,045 batted balls) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .233 against Cubs pitchers with runners on base in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .220 against Cubs pitchers in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 43% of their games since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Cubs vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Patrick Wisdom (Chicago Cubs): Back, 10-Day IL
- Justin Steele (Chicago Cubs): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Brennen Davis (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, Out
- Tyler Duffey (Chicago Cubs): Back, Day-To-Day
- Jameson Taillon (Chicago Cubs): Back, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
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