- The Cubs are -190 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies vs Cubs Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Rockies / Cubs TV Channel: MARQ | ROTV
The Colorado Rockies (+155) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-190) on Tuesday, April 2, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Rockies are 1-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 3-1 ATS.
Rockies vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland 0-1, 38.59 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Javier Assad 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Rockies vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -135 | O 8 -110 | +155 |
| Cubs | -1.5 +110 | U 8 -110 | -190 |
Rockies vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 63.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Cal Quantrill has hit the Strikeouts Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.60 Units / 46% ROI)
- Kyle Freeland has hit the Strikeouts Under in his last 11 away games (+11.10 Units / 72% ROI)
- Dakota Hudson has hit the Strikeouts Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.75 Units / 57% ROI)
- Alan Trejo has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+8.55 Units / 50% ROI)
- Alan Trejo has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+7.65 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Over in 39 of his last 50 games (+20.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 31 of his last 45 games (+14.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 45 games (+12.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- Miles Mastrobuoni has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 11 games at home (+9.20 Units / 84% ROI)
- Miles Mastrobuoni has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+7.00 Units / 87% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 34 away games (+15.78 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 76 away games (+12.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 35 away games (+11.46 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 72 games (+11.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 away games (+9.14 Units / 43% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+9.21 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 34 games at home (+7.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 68 games at home (+7.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 61 games at home (+6.79 Units / 10% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 1-4 against the Run Line (-3.35 Units / -60.36% ROI).
- 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.4 Units / -48% ROI
- 3-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.8 Units / 14.04% ROI
- 2-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.1 Units / -20.75% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 3-1 against the Run Line (+1.2 Units / 18.32% ROI).
- 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.1 Units / 1.85% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.2 Units / -4.44% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -2.33% ROI
Cubs vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Morel | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Suzuki | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Montero | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Blackmon | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Doyle | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -2000 |
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .411 (74-for-180) against Kyle Freeland’s changeup since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .238 — first Percentile.
Opponents batted .437 (31-for-71) against Kyle Freeland’s changeup in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .238 — first Percentile.
Kyle Freeland has allowed a slugging percentage of .650 (117 Total Bases / 180 ABs) on changeups since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .376 — first Percentile.
Kyle Freeland has thrown inside pitches 46% of the time (585/1,286) with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Javier Assad threw his off-speed pitches for a strike just 45% (174/387) of the time in the 2023 season — lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Javier Assad threw at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 53% (170/319) of opposing batters in the 2023 season — tied for 5th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
Javier Assad threw his breaking pitches for a strike just 47% (148/318) of the time in the 2023 season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 63% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 19% (26/135) against Javier Assad on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 30% — third Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Rockies were just 41-20 (.672) when leading entering the 7th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The Rockies were just 45-13 (.776) when leading entering the 8th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.
The Rockies were just 15-14 (.517) when they had 5 or more XBH in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Rockies are just 38-25 (.603) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .797.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Cubs were 27-4 (.871) when they had 5 or more XBH in 2023 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Cubs were just 7-12 (.368) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2023 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs were just 10-22 (.312) after a win as underdogs in 2023 — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .430.
The Cubs are just 19-26 (.413) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .496.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have won just 50% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Rockies have won just 46% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies won just 53% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.3 feet since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.7.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters averaged 3.99 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cubs hitters had an OBP of .337 (3,050 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .324.
Cubs hitters had an OBP of .264 (3,361 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Cubs hitters had an OPS of .764 (1,948 PA’s) in innings 7-9 in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 18% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .220 against Cubs pitchers in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 45% of their games since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Cubs pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.3 MPH (4,045 batted balls) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .233 against Cubs pitchers with runners on base in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Cubs vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Patrick Wisdom (Chicago Cubs): Back, 10-Day IL
- Justin Steele (Chicago Cubs): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Brennen Davis (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, Out
- Tyler Duffey (Chicago Cubs): Back, Day-To-Day
- Jameson Taillon (Chicago Cubs): Back, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
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