The Colorado Rockies (+135) visit Salt River Fields at Talking Stick to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-160) on Wednesday, March 20, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Scottsdale, AZ.
This season, the Rockies are 12-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 7-12 ATS.
Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +135 |
| Diamondbacks | -160 |
Rockies vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 57.3% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Elias Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.90 Units / 81% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.90 Units / 78% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the RBIs Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Dominic Fletcher has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+4.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Emmanuel Rivera has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Evan Longoria has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the Hits Under in his last game (+1.90 Units / 190% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 34 away games (+15.78 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 76 away games (+12.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 35 away games (+11.46 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 72 games (+11.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 away games (+9.14 Units / 43% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+9.29 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 98 of their last 176 games (+9.25 Units / 4% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Rockies are 12-6 against the Run Line (+5.65 Units / 23.98% ROI).
- 12-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.49 Units / 49.74% ROI
- 9-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.01 Units / -5.07% ROI
- 9-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.89 Units / -4.52% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Diamondbacks are 7-12 against the Run Line (-6.53 Units / -27.29% ROI).
- 6-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.68 Units / -31.14% ROI
- 7-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -5 Units / -23.98% ROI
- 11-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.35 Units / 15.99% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted .371 (13-for-35) against Peter Lambert in late innings in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .246 — second Percentile.
Opponents had a first pitch chase rate of just 9% (16/180) against Peter Lambert in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 16% — first Percentile.
Peter Lambert allowed a slugging percentage of .534 (182 Total Bases / 341 ABs) in the 2023 season — tied for 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .422 — fifth Percentile.
Opponents had a chase percentage of just 18% (89/505) against Peter Lambert in non-two strike counts in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a line drive rate of 35% (18/52) versus Tommy Henry on inside fastballs in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% (90/276) against Tommy Henry in the 2023 season — tied for 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 97th Percentile.
Tommy Henry had a strikeout rate of just 15% (12/81) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs in the 2023 season — 14th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 10th Percentile.
Tommy Henry had a strike rate of just 62% (218/352) when he’s behind in the count in the 2023 season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 69% — fourth Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Rockies were just 44-13 (.772) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Rockies were just 15-14 (.517) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Rockies were just 42-25 (.627) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .780.
The Rockies were just 40-20 (.667) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Diamondbacks are just 55-36 (.604) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Diamondbacks are just 132-13 (.910) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Diamondbacks are 19-124 (.133) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .093.
The Diamondbacks are just 108-25 (.812) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .871.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have won just 45% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies have won just 58% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 76%.
The Rockies have won just 49% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Rockies won just 53% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters put 40% of their swings in play against LHP in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Diamondbacks hitters struck out just 331 times in 1,697 PA’s (20%) against LHP in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Diamondbacks batted .279 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
The Diamondbacks batted just .320 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .348.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 18% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents batted .288 against Rockies pitchers in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Diamondbacks pitchers in the 2023 season traveled 493.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 466.0
The Diamondbacks pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in 60% of their games in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 110 MPH 138 times since the 2022 season — 3rd most in MLB.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed the 5th hardest ball in play hit (115.8 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).
Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Corbin Martin (Arizona Diamondbacks): Lat, Out
- Chris Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, Out
- Kevin Ginkel (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, Out
- Scott McGough (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, Out
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
- Austin Gomber (Colorado Rockies): Back, Out
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
- Kyle Freeland (Colorado Rockies): Oblique, Out
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, Out
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