- The Diamondbacks are -225 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies / Diamondbacks TV Channel: ROTV | MLBN | DBTV
The Colorado Rockies (+185) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-225) on Thursday, March 28, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -105 | O 8.5 -105 | +185 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 -115 | U 8.5 -115 | -225 |
Rockies vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Thursday‘s game with 67.2% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Evan Longoria has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jace Peterson has hit the Runs Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jake McCarthy has hit the Hits Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 37% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 34 away games (+15.78 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 76 away games (+12.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 35 away games (+11.46 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 72 games (+11.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 away games (+9.14 Units / 43% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+9.29 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 98 of their last 176 games (+9.25 Units / 4% ROI)
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a line drive rate of 38% (26/69) versus Kyle Freeland on changeups in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
Kyle Freeland has averaged 88.8 MPH on fastballs in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — second Percentile.
Kyle Freeland recorded no strikeouts in 16 PA’s (0% strikeout rate) in close and late situations in the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — third Percentile.
Opponents batted .275 (82-for-298) against Kyle Freeland when behind in the count in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .196 — 0 Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a line drive rate of 27% (155/574) versus Zac Gallen in the 2023 season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — eighth Percentile.
Zac Gallen threw breaking pitches down 83% of the time (633/764) in the 2023 season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 95th Percentile.
Hitters swung at 55% of Zac Gallen’s pitches (543/992) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 60% — seventh Percentile.
Opponents batted just .207 (17-for-82) against Zac Gallen on low fastballs in the 2023 season — 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .274 — 91st Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Rockies were just 41-20 (.672) when leading entering the 7th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The Rockies were just 15-14 (.517) when they had 5 or more XBH in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Rockies are just 38-25 (.603) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Rockies were just 45-13 (.776) when leading entering the 8th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Diamondbacks are just 132-13 (.910) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Diamondbacks are just 116-21 (.847) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .907.
The Diamondbacks are just 55-36 (.604) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Diamondbacks were 17-11 (.607) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2023 — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have won just 45% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.4 feet since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.7.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 30% on the road since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Rockies have won just 49% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters struck out just 916 times in 4,427 PA’s (21%) against RHP in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks hitters put 40% of their swings in play against LHP in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Diamondbacks hitters chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against RHP in the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Diamondbacks hitters struck out just 331 times in 1,697 PA’s (20%) against LHP in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers had an ERA of 6.13 (735.0 IP) at home in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents batted .288 against Rockies pitchers in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Diamondbacks pitchers in the 2023 season traveled 493.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 466.0
Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 100 MPH 1,042 times in the 2023 season — 4th most in MLB.
The Diamondbacks pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in 63% of their games at home in the 2023 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed the 5th hardest ball in play hit (115.8 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).
Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Corbin Martin (Arizona Diamondbacks): Lat, Out
- Chris Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, Out
- Kevin Ginkel (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, Out
- Scott McGough (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, Out
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
- Austin Gomber (Colorado Rockies): Back, Out
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
- Kyle Freeland (Colorado Rockies): Oblique, Out
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, Out
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