- The Diamondbacks are -225 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies / Diamondbacks TV Channel: ROTV | DBTV
The Colorado Rockies (+185) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-225) on Friday, March 29, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Rockies are 0-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 1-0 ATS.
Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -105 | O 9 -105 | +185 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 -115 | U 9 -115 | -225 |
Rockies vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Friday‘s game with 64.2% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Runs Over in his last game (+1.65 Units / 165% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Under in his last game (+1.50 Units / 150% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Under in his last game (+1.50 Units / 150% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Under in his last game (+1.45 Units / 145% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the Total Bases Under in his last game (+1.45 Units / 145% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nick Ahmed has hit the RBIs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Over in his last game (+2.10 Units / 210% ROI)
- Evan Longoria has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Blaze Alexander has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+1.85 Units / 185% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Runs Over in his last game (+1.60 Units / 160% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 34 away games (+15.78 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 76 away games (+12.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 35 away games (+11.46 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 72 games (+11.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 away games (+9.14 Units / 43% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+9.29 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 98 of their last 176 games (+9.25 Units / 4% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 0-1 against the Run Line (-1.12 Units / -100% ROI).
- 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- 1-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 86.96% ROI
- 0-1 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.05 Units / -100% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 1-0 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 92.59% ROI).
- 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 45.87% ROI
- 1-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 86.96% ROI
- 0-1 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.05 Units / -100% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cal Quantrill had a strikeout rate of just 15% (19/128) on low non-fastballs in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 34% — first Percentile.
Cal Quantrill located 67% of his pitches away (602/900) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 18% (42/229) against Cal Quantrill with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 26% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 6% (7/127) against Cal Quantrill on inside fastballs in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 16% — first Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Merrill Kelly walked 25 of 207 batters (12%) versus the bottom of the order in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
54 of Merrill Kelly’s 187 strikeouts (29%) came on changeups in the 2023 season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 93rd Percentile.
66% of Merrill Kelly’s called strikeouts were low in the 2023 season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 63% (120/190) against Merrill Kelly on non-fastballs in the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 97th Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Rockies were just 15-14 (.517) when they had 5 or more XBH in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Rockies were just 45-13 (.776) when leading entering the 8th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.
The Rockies were just 42-25 (.627) when they scored 5 or more runs in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .781.
The Rockies were just 41-20 (.672) when leading entering the 7th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Diamondbacks are just 135-13 (.912) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Diamondbacks are just 56-36 (.609) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Diamondbacks were 17-11 (.607) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2023 — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Diamondbacks are just 119-21 (.850) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .907.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have won just 49% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.4 feet since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.7.
The Rockies won just 53% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 30% on the road since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters put 40% of their swings in play against LHP in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Diamondbacks hitters struck out just 331 times in 1,697 PA’s (20%) against LHP in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks hitters had 123 extra-base hits out of 381 total hits (just 32%) against LHP in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Diamondbacks batted just .320 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .348.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 18% versus the bottom of the order in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rockies pitchers allowed a slugging percentage of .486 in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Diamondbacks pitchers in the 2023 season traveled 493.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 466.0
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed the 5th hardest ball in play hit (115.8 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).
Opponents had a groundball batting average of .260 against Diamondbacks pitchers with the shift in the 2023 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.6 MPH (4,085 batted balls) in the 2023 season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Corbin Martin (Arizona Diamondbacks): Lat, Out
- Chris Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, Out
- Kevin Ginkel (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, Out
- Scott McGough (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, Out
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
- Austin Gomber (Colorado Rockies): Back, Out
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
- Kyle Freeland (Colorado Rockies): Oblique, Out
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, Out
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