- The Marlins are -165 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Rockies / Marlins TV Channel: FDFL | ROTV
The Colorado Rockies (+125) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-150) on Wednesday, June 4, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 12:10pm EDT in Miami, FL, FL.
This season, the Rockies are 11-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 30-29 ATS.
Rockies vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland 0-8, 5.70 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill 3-5, 5.80 ERA
Rockies vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -175 | O 8 -105 | +125 |
| Marlins | -1.5 +145 | U 8 -115 | -150 |
Rockies vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.55 Units / 27% ROI)
- Kyle Freeland has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- Mickey Moniak has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+8.90 Units / 148% ROI)
- Kyle Freeland has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.90 Units / 47% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+7.20 Units / 22% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Otto Lopez has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- Nick Fortes has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games at home (+9.00 Units / 225% ROI)
- Nick Fortes has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.65 Units / 50% ROI)
- Otto Lopez has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- Nick Fortes has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.55 Units / 64% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 40 of their last 60 games (+16.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 61 games (+16.02 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 33 away games (+11.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 10 away games (+3.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+0.30 Units / 6% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games at home (+7.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in their last 7 games at home (+7.10 Units / 90% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 19 games (+3.85 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 18 games (+2.35 Units / 12% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 22-39 against the Run Line (-15.7 Units / -23.02% ROI).
- 11-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -29.65 Units / -48.09% ROI
- 24-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.2 Units / -21.27% ROI
- 35-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.5 Units / 12.59% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 30-29 against the Run Line (-2.35 Units / -3.21% ROI).
- 23-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.1 Units / -9.65% ROI
- 33-26 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.65 Units / 5.54% ROI
- 26-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.1 Units / -15.79% ROI
Marlins vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Jordan Beck (COL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Connor Norby (MIA) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Agustin Ramirez (MIA) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Marlins vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Wagaman (MIA) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Connor Norby (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jordan Beck (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Thairo Estrada (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Marlins vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Eric Wagaman (MIA) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Agustin Ramirez (MIA) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Connor Norby (MIA) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Marlins vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Quantrill (MIA) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -135 |
| Kyle Freeland (COL) | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -160 |
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .333 (34-for-102) against Kyle Freeland when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — first Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .348 (71-for-204) against Kyle Freeland this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .332 (87-for-262) against Kyle Freeland this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .440 (44-for-100) against Kyle Freeland’s fastball this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .255 — first Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cal Quantrill has allowed a slugging percentage of .660 (66 Total Bases / 100 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: .386 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents had a chase percentage of just 19% (60/319) against Cal Quantrill with runners in scoring position in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents batting at the bottom of the order are hitting .414 (24-for-58) against Cal Quantrill this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: .233 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 23% (107/470) against Cal Quantrill with runners in scoring position since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 88 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 0 Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Rockies are just 61-9 (.859) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Rockies are just 91-37 (.705) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The Rockies are just 3-23 (.115) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Marlins (27th best runs scored) today.
The Rockies are just 112-15 (.875) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Marlins were just 14-31 (.311) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Mets (seventh best runs scored) today.
The Marlins were just 39-14 (.736) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Marlins are just 13-4 (.765) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .904.
The Marlins were just 30-51 (.370) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .254 (1,171 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 25% on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 15% on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .278 (7,152 PA’s) on the road since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters have pulled just 43% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Marlins are just 23-56 (.291) against the run line (-41.3% ROI) when slight moneyline favorites (-101 to -149) since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .456.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 18% in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
The Marlins allowed 6.04 runs per game (489/81) at home in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
Marlins pitchers had an ERA of 5.37 (751.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.72 (222.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.19.
The Marlins have allowed 5.96 runs per game (155/26) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.
More MLB Reading:
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