- The Mets are -210 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies vs Mets Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Rockies / Mets TV Channel: SNY | ROTV | MLBN
The Colorado Rockies (+165) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-200) on Sunday, July 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Rockies are 33-63 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 46-48 ATS.
Rockies vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rockies starting pitcher: German Marquez 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Jose Quintana 4-5, 3.87 ERA
Rockies vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -125 | O 8.5 -115 | +165 |
| Mets | -1.5 +105 | U 8.5 -105 | -200 |
Rockies vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 62.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 24 away games (+24.80 Units / 103% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 43 games (+12.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 20 away games (+9.85 Units / 49% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 30 games (+9.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 36 games (+8.85 Units / 17% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 8 games (+25.20 Units / 315% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 22 games at home (+15.75 Units / 72% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 42 games (+11.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 42 games (+11.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.60 Units / 82% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 60 games (+10.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.90 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 54 games (+4.90 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 30 away games (+4.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 60 games (+4.50 Units / 7% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 55 of their last 85 games (+19.95 Units / 20% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 35 games (+14.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 53 games (+10.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+9.90 Units / 46% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 36 games (+8.75 Units / 19% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 46-50 against the Run Line (-14.6 Units / -12.34% ROI).
- 33-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.4 Units / -10.87% ROI
- 49-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.4 Units / -0.38% ROI
- 45-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.05 Units / -8.63% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 46-48 against the Run Line (-4.8 Units / -3.96% ROI).
- 49-45 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 1.39% ROI
- 49-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.8 Units / 4.69% ROI
- 40-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.25 Units / -13.22% ROI
Mets vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Francisco Alvarez (NYM) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Mets vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Alvarez (NYM) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Charlie Blackmon (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jeff McNeil (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ezequiel Tovar (COL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Mets vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Alvarez (NYM) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Mets vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| German Marquez (COL) | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -130 |
| Jose Quintana (NYM) | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -165 |
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .377 (52-for-138) against German Marquez on low fastballs since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 166 total IP; League Avg: .273 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 50% (165/328) against German Marquez vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 166 total IP; League Avg: 39% — first Percentile.
German Marquez has allowed a slugging percentage of .570 (228 Total Bases / 400 ABs) on fastballs since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 166 total IP; League Avg: .435 — third Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 49% (300/617) against German Marquez since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 166 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 0 Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 59% (740/1,251) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 50% (276/556) when ahead in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strikeout rate of just 11% (8 SO in 71 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — first Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 50% (506/1,011) when ahead in the count since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Rockies are just 23-25 (.479) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .793.
The Rockies are just 46-36 (.561) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Rockies are just 27-7 (.794) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .944.
The Rockies are just 105-65 (.618) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .794.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Mets are 6-35 (.146) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .056.
The Mets are 7-29 (.194) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Mets are just 38-6 (.864) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .944.
The Mets are just 34-11 (.756) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .897.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have won just 50% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.2 feet since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.4.
The Rockies have won just 58% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 76%.
The Rockies have won just 46% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets are batting .267 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Mets hitters have an OPS of .784 (1,032 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Mets hitters are slugging .629 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .558.
Mets hitters have an OPS of .769 (1,701 PA’s) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .697.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 35% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 360 of 3,612 batters (10%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 220 of 2,258 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Mets pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tylor Megill (New York Mets): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, 60-Day IL
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
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