- The Mets are -350 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies vs Mets Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Rockies / Mets TV Channel: SNY | ROTV
The Colorado Rockies (+275) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-350) on Friday, May 30, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Rockies are 9-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 28-28 ATS.
Rockies vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland 0-7, 5.83 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: David Peterson 3-2, 2.80 ERA
Rockies vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +2.5 -125 | O 7.5 +100 | +275 |
| Mets | -2.5 +105 | U 7.5 -120 | -350 |
Rockies vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Friday‘s MLB game with 71.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Farmer has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 away games (+11.40 Units / 228% ROI)
- Kyle Freeland has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- Michael Toglia has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+8.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- Kyle Freeland has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.60 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brett Baty has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+25.90 Units / 259% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+12.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+12.05 Units / 58% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Walks Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+7.80 Units / 19% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 38 of their last 55 games (+18.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 56 games (+15.52 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 28 away games (+10.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 away games (+4.30 Units / 86% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 56 games (+11.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 28 games at home (+8.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 51 games (+7.79 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 28 games at home (+7.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.00 Units / 30% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 20-36 against the Run Line (-14.7 Units / -23.5% ROI).
- 9-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -29.95 Units / -52.87% ROI
- 22-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.9 Units / -21.06% ROI
- 32-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.7 Units / 12.42% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 28-28 against the Run Line (+0.29 Units / 0.41% ROI).
- 34-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.85 Units / 3.35% ROI
- 20-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.6 Units / -28.46% ROI
- 34-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.8 Units / 19.22% ROI
Mets vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Francisco Alvarez (NYM) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Mets vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Starling Marte (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Mets vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Mets vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Freeland (COL) | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
| David Peterson (NYM) | 6.5 +110 | 6.5 -145 |
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting .360 (67-for-186) against Kyle Freeland this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .336 (80-for-238) against Kyle Freeland this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .234 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .336 (80-for-238) against Kyle Freeland this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .344 (32-for-93) against Kyle Freeland when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — first Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
David Peterson has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 92.8 MPH on the 227 breaking pitches put in play against him since the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: 87.6.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 63% (37/59) against David Peterson when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .062 (1-for-16) against David Peterson when going through the lineup the second time in a game in his last two starts — tied for 6th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .240 — 94th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 56% (89/160) against David Peterson’s slider since the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: 35% — first Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Rockies are just 90-37 (.703) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The Rockies are just 3-23 (.115) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Mets (seventh best runs scored) today.
The Rockies are just 49-18 (.721) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The Rockies are just 27-81 (.248) on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .468.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Mets were 8-60 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Mets are 14-9 (.609) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Rockies (19th best runs scored) today.
The Mets are 22-9 (.710) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Mets are 4-2 (.667) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season They play the Rockies (30th best runs allowed) today.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 26% on the road since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .256 (995 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 16% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 32% since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of just .170 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .258.
The Mets batted just .238 in 2023 — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Games involving the Mets went UNDER in 89% of their games (70.4% ROI) when slight moneyline underdogs (+101 to +149) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
The Mets batted just .238 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 18% in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers walked 586 of 6,098 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Mets pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 44% against Mets pitchers in the 2024 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mets pitchers have walked 10% of batters this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
More MLB Reading:
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