- The Nationals are -190 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies vs Nationals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Rockies / Nationals TV Channel: MASN | ROTV
The Colorado Rockies (+155) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-190) on Monday, June 16, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Washington, DC.
This season, the Rockies are 14-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 36-35 ATS.
Rockies vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rockies starting pitcher: Carson Palmquist 0-4, 7.90 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Jake Irvin 5-3, 4.27 ERA
Rockies vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -135 | O 9 -118 | +155 |
| Nationals | -1.5 +110 | U 9 -102 | -190 |
Rockies vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Monday‘s MLB game with 63.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games (+17.60 Units / 251% ROI)
- Tyler Freeman has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- Tyler Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.10 Units / 37% ROI)
- Tyler Freeman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+9.05 Units / 74% ROI)
- Tyler Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 10 away games (+7.60 Units / 75% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alex Call has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games at home (+12.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- James Wood has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+10.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+10.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+10.05 Units / 41% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+7.50 Units / 23% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 36 away games (+16.00 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 44 of their last 71 games (+13.17 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 37 away games (+11.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+8.50 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+5.35 Units / 89% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 55 games (+12.89 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 45 games (+12.17 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 16 games at home (+9.70 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 28 games (+2.15 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 26 games (+0.90 Units / 3% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 26-45 against the Run Line (-16.9 Units / -21.43% ROI).
- 14-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -30.9 Units / -43.13% ROI
- 29-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.75 Units / -17.57% ROI
- 39-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.25 Units / 9.29% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 36-35 against the Run Line (-5.95 Units / -6.51% ROI).
- 30-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.32 Units / -5.78% ROI
- 32-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.6 Units / -11% ROI
- 37-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.9 Units / 2.44% ROI
Nationals vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Josh Bell (WAS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Nationals vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jordan Beck (COL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Nathaniel Lowe (WAS) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Nationals vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Josh Bell (WAS) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Amed Rosario (WAS) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Nathaniel Lowe (WAS) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
Nationals vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carson Palmquist (COL) | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +110 |
| Jake Irvin (WAS) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -135 |
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 17% (4/24) against Carson Palmquist this month (2 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Carson Palmquist has a first-pitch strike rate of just 43% (18/42) this month (2 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 63% — 0 Percentile.
Carson Palmquist has a first-pitch in-zone of just 38% (16/42) this month (2 games) — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 56% — second Percentile.
Carson Palmquist has allowed a slugging percentage of .606 (20 Total Bases / 33 ABs) this month (2 games) — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .407 — sixth Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jake Irvin has thrown 60% of his pitches in the strike zone (303/501) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 51% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (103/605) against Jake Irvin this season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — sixth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters had a chase rate of just 20% (102/502) against Jake Irvin in 2023 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 0 Percentile.
Jake Irvin has thrown 62% of his pitches in the strike zone (155/250) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 98th Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Rockies are just 92-40 (.692) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The Rockies are just 100-25 (.794) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Rockies are just 12-51 (.190) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .527.
The Rockies are just 63-10 (.851) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Nationals are just 29-38 (.426) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .527.
The Nationals are just 5-18 (.208) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .369.
The Nationals are just 164-196 (.454) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
The Nationals are just 99-114 (.463) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 20% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 21% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 27% on the road since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Rockies are batting just .200 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters averaged just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Nationals hitters struck out just 809 times in 4,217 PA’s (19%) against RHP in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals hitters put 39% of their swings in play on pitches 95 mph or greater in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Nationals hitters averaged just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in 2023 — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .296 against Nationals pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Nationals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 20% in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
More MLB Reading:
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