- The Padres are -210 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies vs Padres Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Rockies / Padres TV Channel: ROTV | PDTV
The Colorado Rockies (+170) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-210) on Friday, April 11, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Rockies are 3-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 8-5 ATS.
Rockies vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rockies starting pitcher: German Marquez 0-1, 2.46 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Nick Pivetta 1-1, 2.70 ERA
Rockies vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -125 | O 7 +100 | +170 |
| Padres | -1.5 +105 | U 7 -120 | -210 |
Rockies vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Friday‘s MLB game with 65.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Rockies vs Padres and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+14.40 Units / 360% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the RBIs Over in his last 4 games (+6.70 Units / 167% ROI)
- Jacob Stallings has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.10 Units / 68% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 52% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Iglesias has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+13.40 Units / 51% ROI)
- Jason Heyward has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+12.20 Units / 122% ROI)
- Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Jason Heyward has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jose Iglesias has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+9.90 Units / 55% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 44 of their last 80 away games (+0.80 Units / 1% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 100 of their last 167 games (+19.85 Units / 9% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 86 of their last 167 games (+4.60 Units / 2% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 86 of their last 167 games (+2.70 Units / 1% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.30 Units / 18% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 4-8 against the Run Line (-5.5 Units / -36.79% ROI).
- 3-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.5 Units / -44.18% ROI
- 4-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.6 Units / -27.48% ROI
- 7-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.6 Units / 19.55% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 8-5 against the Run Line (+2.8 Units / 16.09% ROI).
- 10-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.3 Units / 44.38% ROI
- 6-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.5 Units / -3.51% ROI
- 6-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.75 Units / -5.21% ROI
Padres vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Brenton Doyle (COL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Kris Bryant (COL) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Padres vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Brenton Doyle (COL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Gavin Sheets (SD) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
Padres vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -220 |
| Gavin Sheets (SD) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Padres vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pivetta (SD) | 6.5 -160 | 6.5 +125 |
| German Marquez (COL) | 3.5 -130 | 3.5 +100 |
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
German Marquez has allowed an OBP of .476 (21 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .244 — first Percentile.
German Marquez has a strikeout rate of just 6% (1 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 21% — eighth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 73% (11/15) against German Marquez this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 96th Percentile.
German Marquez has a first-pitch strike rate of just 49% (22/45) this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 62% — second Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nick Pivetta has allowed a slugging percentage of .751 (322 Total Bases / 429 ABs) in non-two strike counts since the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: .572 — 0 Percentile.
Nick Pivetta has allowed an OBP of just .179 (736 PA’s) with two-strikes since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 98th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .183 (52-for-284) against Nick Pivetta since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 97th Percentile.
Nick Pivetta allowed a slugging percentage of .766 (167 Total Bases / 218 ABs) in non-two strike counts in the 2024 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .561 — 0 Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Rockies were just 50-9 (.833) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Rockies are just 104-15 (.867) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Rockies are just 86-36 (.699) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .858.
The Rockies are just 45-17 (.714) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Padres were 55-38 (.591) after a win in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .496.
The Padres are 9-1 (.900) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .700.
The Padres are 73-8 (.901) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .805.
The Padres are 62-40 (.608) after a win since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 28% on the road since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 409.4 feet since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.9.
Rockies hitters struck out 468 times in 1,714 PA’s (27%) against LHP in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Rockies won just 48% of road games in which they scored three or more runs in an inning last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 76%.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters struck out just 278 times in 1,617 PA’s (17%) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Padres are batting .275 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Padres hitters have just 310 strikeouts in 1,798 PA’s (17%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Padres hitters have just 1,163 strikeouts in 6,589 PA’s (18%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 18% in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,922 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Padres pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 55% of opposing batters this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Padres pitchers have walked 54 of 471 batters (12%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Padres pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Rockies vs Padres and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
