- The Padres are -165 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies vs Padres Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Rockies / Padres TV Channel: ROTV | PDTV
The Colorado Rockies (+140) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-165) on Saturday, April 12, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Rockies are 3-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 9-5 ATS.
Rockies vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rockies starting pitcher: Chase Dollander 1-0, 7.72 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Kyle Hart 1-0, 11.82 ERA
Rockies vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -150 | O 8.5 -110 | +140 |
| Padres | -1.5 +125 | U 8.5 -110 | -165 |
Rockies vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 60.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+14.40 Units / 360% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 6 away games (+7.10 Units / 105% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the RBIs Over in his last 4 games (+6.70 Units / 167% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 6 away games (+6.15 Units / 102% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 52% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games at home (+15.30 Units / 170% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+13.65 Units / 63% ROI)
- Jose Iglesias has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+13.40 Units / 51% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 48% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 45 of their last 81 away games (+1.80 Units / 2% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 101 of their last 168 games (+20.85 Units / 9% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 87 of their last 168 games (+5.60 Units / 3% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 87 of their last 168 games (+3.70 Units / 2% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.30 Units / 23% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 4-9 against the Run Line (-6.65 Units / -41.3% ROI).
- 3-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.5 Units / -48.33% ROI
- 5-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.6 Units / -18.31% ROI
- 7-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.5 Units / 10.42% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 9-5 against the Run Line (+3.8 Units / 20.6% ROI).
- 11-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.3 Units / 44.86% ROI
- 7-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.5 Units / 3.26% ROI
- 6-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.85 Units / -11.94% ROI
Padres vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Brenton Doyle (COL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -550 |
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Kris Bryant (COL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Padres vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Iglesias (SD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Brenton Doyle (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Gavin Sheets (SD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Kris Bryant (COL) | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
Padres vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Gavin Sheets (SD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Luis Arraez (SD) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
Padres vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chase Dollander (COL) | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
| Kyle Hart (SD) | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chase Dollander has allowed a slugging percentage of .619 (13 Total Bases / 21 ABs) this month (1 games) — 11th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: .388 — seventh Percentile.
Chase Dollander has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 47% (8/17) of opposing batters this month (1 games) — tied for 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 63% — sixth Percentile.
Chase Dollander has allowed a slugging percentage of .619 (13 Total Bases / 21 ABs) at home this month (1 games) — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: .376 — eighth Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Hart has allowed an OPS of 1.159 (27 PA’s) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .697 — second Percentile.
Kyle Hart has an ERA of 11.12 (5.2 IP)this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 3.92 — third Percentile.
Kyle Hart has walked 5 of 27 batters (18%) this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 9% — third Percentile.
Kyle Hart has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 35% (7/20) of opposing batters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 63% — 0 Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Rockies are just 53-9 (.841) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Rockies were just 50-9 (.833) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Rockies are just 92-22 (.800) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Rockies are just 86-36 (.699) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .858.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Padres were 66-8 (.892) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .804.
The Padres were 11-59 (.157) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Padres are 10-1 (.909) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .709.
The Padres are 51-36 (.586) on the road since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .472.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 28% on the road since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Rockies hitters have missed on 33% of swings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies hitters have 111 strikeouts in 369 PA’s (30%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .641 (6,225 PA’s) on the road since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters struck out just 278 times in 1,617 PA’s (17%) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Padres are batting .275 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
The Padres are batting .288 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Padres hitters have just 311 strikeouts in 1,801 PA’s (17%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Padres pitchers since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Padres pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Padres pitchers had a strikeout rate of 24% in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Padres pitchers have walked 134 of 1,566 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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