- The Padres are -235 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies vs Padres Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Rockies / Padres TV Channel: ROTV | PDTV
The Colorado Rockies (+200) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-250) on Sunday, April 13, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Rockies are 3-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 10-5 ATS.
Rockies vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland 0-2, 3.79 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Michael King 2-0, 3.95 ERA
Rockies vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -110 | O 7 -105 | +200 |
| Padres | -1.5 -110 | U 7 -115 | -250 |
Rockies vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 66.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Freeland has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.15 Units / 46% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+8.40 Units / 120% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 7 away games (+8.10 Units / 96% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+7.75 Units / 111% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 6 away games (+6.35 Units / 89% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+13.65 Units / 62% ROI)
- Jose Iglesias has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+11.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.05 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jose Iglesias has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games at home (+9.00 Units / 225% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.45 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 46 of their last 81 away games (+4.10 Units / 4% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 101 of their last 168 games (+20.10 Units / 9% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 87 of their last 168 games (+5.80 Units / 3% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 15 games (+3.05 Units / 19% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 4-10 against the Run Line (-8.1 Units / -46.15% ROI).
- 3-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.5 Units / -51.9% ROI
- 5-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.7 Units / -24.18% ROI
- 8-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.5 Units / 16.13% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 10-5 against the Run Line (+5 Units / 25.71% ROI).
- 12-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.3 Units / 46.15% ROI
- 7-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.6 Units / -3.65% ROI
- 7-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.85 Units / -5.12% ROI
Padres vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Oscar Gonzalez (SD) | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -1200 |
Padres vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Oscar Gonzalez (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jose Iglesias (SD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Padres vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Oscar Gonzalez (SD) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Elias Diaz (SD) | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
Padres vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Freeland (COL) | 3.5 -120 | 3.5 -105 |
| Michael King (SD) | 7.5 -110 | 7.5 -118 |
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .407 (11-for-27) against Kyle Freeland when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .218 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .407 (11-for-27) against Kyle Freeland when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .222 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .500 (9-for-18) against Kyle Freeland when going through the lineup the second time in a game in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .221 — first Percentile.
Kyle Freeland has not walked any of the 76 batters that he has faced this season — best among among NL Starters; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael King has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.1 MPH since the 2023 season (740 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 89.0
Opposing hitters had a miss rate of 36% (90/249) against Michael King when he was behind in the count in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Michael King has struck out 31% (111/361) of right-handed batters he faced since last season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 90th Percentile.
Michael King had a strikeout rate of 33% (92/279) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Rockies are just 104-15 (.867) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Rockies are just 53-9 (.841) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Rockies are just 86-36 (.699) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .858.
The Rockies were just 50-9 (.833) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Padres are 9-2 (.818) after a win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .485.
The Padres are 9-0 (1.000) at home this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .612.
The Padres are 12-3 (.800) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Padres were 48-33 (.593) on the road in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .478.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 28% on the road since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Rockies hitters struck out 468 times in 1,714 PA’s (27%) against LHP in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .233 (275 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .301.
The Rockies won just 47% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters struck out just 799 times in 4,486 PA’s (18%) against RHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Padres hitters have just 866 strikeouts in 4,855 PA’s (18%) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Padres are batting .308 with two outs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .230.
Padres hitters struck out just 1,077 times in 6,103 PA’s (18%) in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 18% in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Padres pitchers have an ERA of 0.50 (36.0 IP) at home this month (4 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.41.
The Padres have allowed 1.22 runs per game (11/9) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.97.
Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Padres pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
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