- The Phillies are -250 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies vs Phillies Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Rockies / Phillies TV Channel: NSP+ | ROTV
The Colorado Rockies (+200) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-250) on Tuesday, April 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Rockies are 4-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 6-11 ATS.
Rockies vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rockies starting pitcher: Austin Gomber 0-0, 4.91 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Ranger Suarez 2-0, 2.70 ERA
Rockies vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 +105 | O 8.5 -115 | +200 |
| Phillies | -1.5 -125 | U 8.5 -105 | -250 |
Rockies vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 64.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Freeland has hit the Strikeouts Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+11.10 Units / 62% ROI)
- Austin Gomber has hit the Earned Runs Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+9.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- Kris Bryant has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+8.55 Units / 54% ROI)
- Austin Gomber has hit the Strikeouts Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Dakota Hudson has hit the Strikeouts Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.85 Units / 59% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ranger Suarez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+9.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+8.05 Units / 35% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 13 games (+7.65 Units / 59% ROI)
- Ranger Suarez has hit the Earned Runs Over in 8 of his last 12 games at home (+4.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Singles Under in 7 of his last 12 games (+3.30 Units / 27% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 34 away games (+15.78 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 73 away games (+11.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 35 away games (+11.46 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 72 games (+11.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 away games (+9.14 Units / 43% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 118 games (+13.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 70 games (+11.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 42 games at home (+8.78 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.18 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.21 Units / 41% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 8-9 against the Run Line (-2.6 Units / -13.33% ROI).
- 4-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.6 Units / -38.71% ROI
- 9-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.1 Units / 0.53% ROI
- 8-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.7 Units / -9.24% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 6-11 against the Run Line (-5.3 Units / -26.17% ROI).
- 9-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.5 Units / -9.58% ROI
- 6-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.35 Units / -33.25% ROI
- 11-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.55 Units / 24.86% ROI
Phillies vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
Phillies vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Charlie Blackmon (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Whit Merrifield (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Phillies vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
Phillies vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Gomber (COL) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
| Ranger Suarez (PHI) | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -150 |
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .639 (265 Total Bases / 415 ABs) on fastballs since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: .435 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .426 (29-for-68) against Austin Gomber in late innings since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: .249 — first Percentile.
Austin Gomber allowed a slugging percentage of .663 (67 Total Bases / 101 ABs) on elevated fastballs in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .404 — first Percentile.
Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .661 (84 Total Bases / 127 ABs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: .443 — first Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ranger Suarez has allowed an OBP of just .206 (63 PA’s) this season — best among in MLB; League Avg: .309 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 65% (26/40) against Ranger Suarez this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 67% (10/15) against Ranger Suarez in two-strike counts this season — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .153 (9-for-59) against Ranger Suarez this season — 2nd best among in MLB; League Avg: .243 — 97th Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Rockies are just 49-14 (.778) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .898.
The Rockies are just 40-27 (.597) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Rockies are just 45-22 (.672) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Rockies are just 17-16 (.515) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .791.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Phillies are 76-8 (.905) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Phillies are 28-122 (.187) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .132.
The Phillies were 52-37 (.584) after a win in 2023 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .514.
The Phillies are 10-132 (.070) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have won just 46% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 27% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Rockies have won just 50% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .637 (6,405 PA’s) on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .709.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .228 (79 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .328.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .276 (383 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Phillies hitters are slugging .421 against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Phillies hitters have 30 extra-base hits out of 130 total hits (just 23%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .120 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Phillies pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Orion Kerkering (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 15-Day IL
- Michael Lorenzen (Philadelphia Phillies): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Erich Uelmen (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, Out
- Weston Wilson (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Rafael Marchan (Philadelphia Phillies): Back, 10-Day IL
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
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