Rockies vs Phillies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 17

MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
  • The Phillies are -225 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Rockies vs Phillies Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Rockies / Phillies TV Channel: NSPA | ROTV

The Colorado Rockies (+185) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-225) on Wednesday, April 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:05pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Rockies are 4-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 7-11 ATS.

Rockies vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rockies starting pitcher: Ryan Feltner 1-1, 3.31 ERA
  • Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez 0-2, 3.52 ERA

Rockies vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+1.5 -110O 8 -115+185
Phillies -1.5 -110U 8 -105-225

Rockies vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 66.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Kyle Freeland has hit the Strikeouts Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+11.10 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Cal Quantrill has hit the Strikeouts Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.75 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Kris Bryant has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+8.55 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Dakota Hudson has hit the Strikeouts Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.85 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Kris Bryant has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+5.20 Units / 27% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Aaron Nola has hit the Earned Runs Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.05 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Whit Merrifield has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.20 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Whit Merrifield has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.05 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Whit Merrifield has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 7 games at home (+5.80 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Aaron Nola has hit the Strikeouts Under in 9 of his last 14 games (+4.20 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 34 away games (+15.78 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 35 away games (+11.46 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 72 games (+11.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 72 away games (+10.50 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 away games (+9.14 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 118 games (+13.30 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 70 games (+11.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 42 games at home (+8.78 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.18 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.21 Units / 41% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 8-10 against the Run Line (-3.6 Units / -17.56% ROI).

  • 4-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.6 Units / -42.11% ROI
  • 9-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.9 Units / -4.5% ROI
  • 9-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.7 Units / -3.57% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 7-11 against the Run Line (-4.3 Units / -20% ROI).

  • 10-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.5 Units / -5.24% ROI
  • 6-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.35 Units / -36.57% ROI
  • 12-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.55 Units / 28.46% ROI

Phillies vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) 0.5 +260 0.5 -350
Bryce Harper (PHI) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Trea Turner (PHI) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
J.T. Realmuto (PHI) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Nick Castellanos (PHI) 0.5 +575 0.5 -800

Phillies vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alec Bohm (PHI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +195
Bryce Harper (PHI) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Elias Diaz (COL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Ezequiel Tovar (COL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
J.T. Realmuto (PHI) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160

Phillies vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) 0.5 +130 0.5 -175
J.T. Realmuto (PHI) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Bryce Harper (PHI) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Trea Turner (PHI) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Alec Bohm (PHI) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210

Phillies vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Ryan Feltner has thrown his slider 61% of the time (33/54) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total SL; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.

Ryan Feltner has thrown breaking pitches 61% of the time (33/54) when behind in the count this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 99th Percentile.

Ryan Feltner has induced opposing hitters to ground into 3 double plays in 9 opportunities (33%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 10% — 99th Percentile.

Ryan Feltner has had second base stolen on him 5 times this season — tied for 2nd most in MLB — 99th Percentile.

Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 71% (65/92) against Cristopher Sanchez’s changeup since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 51% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 82% (14/17) against Cristopher Sanchez — 2nd highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 42% — 98th Percentile.

Cristopher Sanchez induced opposing hitters to ground into 13 double plays in 63 opportunities (21%) in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% (257/448) against Cristopher Sanchez since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Rockies were just 15-14 (.517) when they had 5 or more XBH in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.

The Rockies were just 41-20 (.672) when leading entering the 7th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.

The Rockies are just 0-1 (.000) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.

The Rockies are just 45-22 (.672) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .855.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Phillies were 7-64 (.099) when trailing entering the 9th inning in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .051.

The Phillies were 52-37 (.584) after a win in 2023 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .514.

The Phillies were 11-9 (.550) after a win as underdogs in 2023 — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .430.

The Phillies are 7-72 (.089) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .051.

The Rockies have won just 46% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.

The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.0 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.0.

The Rockies won just 47% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.

The Rockies have won just 50% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.

Phillies hitters are slugging .439 against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .407.

Phillies hitters have chased 22% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 16%.

Phillies hitters are slugging just .328 on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .383.

Phillies hitters are slugging .501 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .448.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Phillies pitchers have walked 210 of 3,039 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Phillies pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Phillies vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Orion Kerkering (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 15-Day IL
  • Michael Lorenzen (Philadelphia Phillies): Neck, 15-Day IL
  • Erich Uelmen (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, Out
  • Weston Wilson (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, Day-To-Day
  • Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Rafael Marchan (Philadelphia Phillies): Back, 10-Day IL
  • German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL

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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.