Rockies vs Phillies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 3

MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
  • The Phillies are -220 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Rockies vs Phillies Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
  • Rockies / Phillies TV Channel: ROTV | NSPA | WCAU | MLBN

The Colorado Rockies (+170) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-210) on Thursday, April 3, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Rockies are 1-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 4-1 ATS.

Rockies vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rockies starting pitcher: Antonio Senzatela 0-0, 0.00 ERA
  • Phillies starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Rockies vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+1.5 -110O 10 -115+170
Phillies -1.5 -110U 10 -105-210

Rockies vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 64.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jacob Stallings has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.85 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Brenton Doyle has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 4 games (+4.90 Units / 108% ROI)
  • Antonio Senzatela has hit the Walks Allowed Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Jacob Stallings has hit the Total Bases Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+3.70 Units / 35% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Kyle Schwarber has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+6.70 Units / 134% ROI)
  • Edmundo Sosa has hit the Runs Over in his last 4 games (+6.10 Units / 152% ROI)
  • Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Kyle Schwarber has hit the RBIs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.95 Units / 99% ROI)
  • Edmundo Sosa has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 4 games (+4.55 Units / 107% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 126 games (+8.60 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.75 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.30 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 away games (+3.75 Units / 125% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+3.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 73 games at home (+14.10 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 63 of their last 107 games (+13.15 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 45 of their last 74 games at home (+10.63 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 61 games (+9.70 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 44 of their last 72 games at home (+9.35 Units / 10% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 2-3 against the Run Line (-1.4 Units / -24.14% ROI).

  • 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.4 Units / -48% ROI
  • 1-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.3 Units / -60.55% ROI
  • 4-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.95 Units / 53.15% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 4-1 against the Run Line (+3.25 Units / 55.56% ROI).

  • 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.6 Units / 24.3% ROI
  • 2-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.3 Units / -23.21% ROI
  • 3-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 16.67% ROI

Phillies vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) 0.5 +270 0.5 -325
Bryce Harper (PHI) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Hunter Goodman (COL) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Ryan McMahon (COL) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Mickey Moniak (COL) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650

Phillies vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Kepler (PHI) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Brenton Doyle (COL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Nick Castellanos (PHI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +195
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Hunter Goodman (COL) 0.5 -220 0.5 +165

Phillies vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bryce Harper (PHI) 0.5 +120 0.5 -155
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) 0.5 +120 0.5 -155
Alec Bohm (PHI) 0.5 +120 0.5 -160
Max Kepler (PHI) 0.5 +130 0.5 -175
Trea Turner (PHI) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200

Phillies vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Antonio Senzatela (COL) 2.5 -150 2.5 +115

Opponents are hitting .474 (9-for-19) against Antonio Senzatela this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: .227 — second Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 7% (2/28) against Antonio Senzatela this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 30% — first Percentile.

Antonio Senzatela has located his pitches away 91% of the time (19/21) when behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.

Antonio Senzatela has not struck out any hitters in 21 PA’s this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.

Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters had a miss rate of just 17% (107/611) against Taijuan Walker in 2023 — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — second Percentile.

Taijuan Walker had a strike rate of just 61% (1,722/2,837) in 2023 — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — fourth Percentile.

Opponents had a swing rate of just 30% (95/312) against Taijuan Walker on low breaking pitches in 2023 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 0 Percentile.

Taijuan Walker has allowed an OPS of .975 (381 PA’s) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: .709 — 0 Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Rockies are just 90-22 (.796) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.

The Rockies are just 85-36 (.697) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .858.

The Rockies were just 50-9 (.833) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.

The Rockies are just 47-119 (.281) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .478.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Phillies were 83-15 (.847) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

The Phillies are 105-59 (.640) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .522.

The Phillies were 76-7 (.916) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The Phillies were 5-56 (.082) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Rockies have won just 47% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.

The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 28% on the road since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Rockies hitters struck out 468 times in 1,714 PA’s (27%) against LHP in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rockies hitters have put just 22% of their swings in play against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of 1.304 (72 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .671.

Phillies hitters are slugging .656 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .383.

Phillies hitters are slugging .844 versus relief pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .379.

The Phillies have scored 4.20 runs per game (21/5) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.41.

Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 18% in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 36% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 55% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Phillies have won 55% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 38% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.