- The Pirates are -190 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Rockies / Pirates TV Channel: ROTV | SNPT
The Colorado Rockies (+150) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-185) on Friday, May 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Rockies are 7-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 16-16 ATS.
Rockies vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rockies starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill 0-3, 5.35 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Martin Perez 1-1, 2.89 ERA
Rockies vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -135 | O 8.5 -110 | +150 |
| Pirates | -1.5 +110 | U 8.5 -110 | -185 |
Rockies vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Friday‘s MLB game with 59.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Elehuris Montero has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+10.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jacob Stallings has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+9.00 Units / 225% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 29 games (+8.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 24 games (+7.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+6.55 Units / 62% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 18 games (+15.65 Units / 48% ROI)
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- Joey Bart has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games at home (+11.30 Units / 188% ROI)
- Edward Olivares has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 8 games (+8.80 Units / 68% ROI)
- Edward Olivares has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+8.30 Units / 83% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 34 away games (+15.78 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 35 away games (+11.46 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 72 games (+11.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 away games (+9.14 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 away games (+6.00 Units / 62% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 67 games (+15.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 120 games (+15.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 65 games (+10.67 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 63 games (+10.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 74 of their last 132 games (+9.44 Units / 6% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 14-17 against the Run Line (-5.9 Units / -16.03% ROI).
- 7-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.5 Units / -41.53% ROI
- 14-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.5 Units / -10.62% ROI
- 16-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.65 Units / 1.97% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 16-16 against the Run Line (-2.74 Units / -6.23% ROI).
- 14-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.35 Units / -12.12% ROI
- 13-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.65 Units / -18.74% ROI
- 18-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.03 Units / 11.54% ROI
Pirates vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jack Suwinski (PIT) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Brenton Doyle (COL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Elehuris Montero (COL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Pirates vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Charlie Blackmon (COL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Brenton Doyle (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Elehuris Montero (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Pirates vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Jack Suwinski (PIT) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Elias Diaz (COL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Rowdy Tellez (PIT) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
Pirates vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cal Quantrill has a strikeout rate of just 24% (17 SO in 70 PAs) with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has allowed an OBP of .386 (70 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among in MLB; League Avg: .235 — fourth Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has a strikeout rate of just 24% (17 SO in 70 PAs) with two-strikes this season — lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has allowed an OBP of .386 (70 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — second Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Martin Perez has located his fastball inside 57% of the time (124/217) this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.
Martin Perez has located his fastball inside 57% of the time (124/217) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 98th Percentile.
Martin Perez has located his fastball inside 57% of the time (124/217) this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .400 (20-for-50) against Martin Perez versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .243 — first Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Rockies are just 0-1 (.000) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.
The Rockies are just 46-23 (.667) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.
The Rockies are just 18-16 (.529) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Rockies are just 50-15 (.769) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .898.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Pirates are just 123-65 (.654) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .719.
The Pirates are just 145-175 (.453) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
The Pirates are just 78-96 (.448) at home since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .524.
The Pirates are just 67-16 (.807) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.5 feet since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.5.
The Rockies have won just 50% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.5 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.8.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 25% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters are slugging just .494 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.
The Pirates are batting just .127 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .314 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .383.
Pirates hitters have 156 strikeouts in 450 PA’s (35%) in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 33% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers are throwing just 3.71 pitches per plate appearance this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,287 of 13,703 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Pirates vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Miguel Andujar (Pittsburgh Pirates): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Colin Holderman (Pittsburgh Pirates): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Johan Oviedo (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dauri Moreta (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Carmen Mlodzinski (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Vince Velasquez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- Mike Burrows (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- JT Brubaker (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Kranick (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Endy Rodriguez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ji Hwan Bae (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hip, 10-Day IL
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
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