- The Pirates are -155 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Rockies / Pirates TV Channel: ROTV | SNPT
The Colorado Rockies (+125) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-155) on Sunday, May 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Rockies are 8-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 16-18 ATS.
Rockies vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rockies starting pitcher: Ryan Feltner 1-2, 5.13 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Bailey Falter 2-2, 4.18 ERA
Rockies vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -160 | O 7.5 +100 | +125 |
| Pirates | -1.5 +135 | U 7.5 -120 | -155 |
Rockies vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Elehuris Montero has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+9.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jacob Stallings has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+9.00 Units / 225% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+8.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 31 games (+8.20 Units / 26% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+7.70 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.60 Units / 44% ROI)
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- Joey Bart has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games at home (+10.30 Units / 147% ROI)
- Jack Suwinski has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+7.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jack Suwinski has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 16 games (+7.55 Units / 47% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 34 away games (+15.78 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 35 away games (+11.46 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 72 games (+11.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 away games (+9.14 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 away games (+6.00 Units / 62% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 67 games (+15.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 120 games (+15.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 65 games (+10.67 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 63 games (+10.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 21 games (+9.13 Units / 40% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 16-17 against the Run Line (-3.9 Units / -9.94% ROI).
- 8-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.9 Units / -37.07% ROI
- 14-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.6 Units / -15.98% ROI
- 18-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.65 Units / 7.5% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 16-18 against the Run Line (-4.79 Units / -10.41% ROI).
- 15-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.2 Units / -13% ROI
- 13-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.75 Units / -23.28% ROI
- 20-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.03 Units / 16.2% ROI
Pirates vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Elehuris Montero (COL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Brenton Doyle (COL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jack Suwinski (PIT) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Pirates vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brenton Doyle (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Charlie Blackmon (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Brendan Rodgers (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Ezequiel Tovar (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Pirates vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Elias Diaz (COL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Elehuris Montero (COL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Rowdy Tellez (PIT) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
Pirates vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .426 (20-for-47) against Ryan Feltner when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .227 — second Percentile.
Ryan Feltner has allowed an OPS of 1.205 (54 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .662 — second Percentile.
Ryan Feltner has allowed a slugging percentage of .723 (34 Total Bases / 47 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .372 — first Percentile.
Ryan Feltner has allowed an OBP of .481 (54 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .290 — second Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bailey Falter has thrown inside pitches 51% of the time (171/336) against right-handed batters this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 13% (20/152) against Bailey Falter on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 0 Percentile.
Bailey Falter has allowed a slugging percentage of .577 (143 Total Bases / 248 ABs) on breaking pitches since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: .373 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 9% (3/35) against Bailey Falter on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Rockies are just 47-23 (.671) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Rockies are just 0-1 (.000) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .576.
The Rockies are just 18-16 (.529) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .789.
The Rockies are just 16-54 (.229) after a road loss since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .474.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Pirates are just 124-66 (.653) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .719.
The Pirates are just 146-176 (.453) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
The Pirates are just 14-20 (.412) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Pirates are just 110-27 (.803) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .868.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have won just 50% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Rockies have won just 58% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 76%.
Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .634 (6,661 PA’s) on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 29% on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters are slugging just .492 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .325 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .376.
The Pirates are batting just .106 with two-strikes over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .167.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .177 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 12% with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% with runners in scoring position since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% against Pirates pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,287 of 13,770 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers are throwing just 3.74 pitches per plate appearance this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Pirates vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Miguel Andujar (Pittsburgh Pirates): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Colin Holderman (Pittsburgh Pirates): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Johan Oviedo (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dauri Moreta (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Carmen Mlodzinski (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Vince Velasquez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- Mike Burrows (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- JT Brubaker (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Kranick (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Endy Rodriguez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ji Hwan Bae (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hip, 10-Day IL
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
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